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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts 🏆 Tournament
La Liga

La Liga Predictions, Fixtures & Standings

Spain · Tier 1 · 20 clubs · 10 rounds · Season 2025/26
Regular Season - 38
Matches played
380/380
100 % done
Goals / match
2.69
season avg
Home win %
49%
380 decided matches
Draw %
24%
380 decided matches
Away win %
27%
380 decided matches
Title leader
Barcelona
94 pts · +8 clear

Upcoming matches

Next round fixtures · open the match for predictions and odds
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League table

After 380 of 380 matches · PPG on the right
Open full table →
# Club P W D L GF GA GD xG Form PPG Pts
1 BAR Barcelona 38 31 1 6 95 36 +59 85.5 W W L W L 2.47 94
2 REA Real Madrid 38 27 5 6 77 35 +42 75.5 W L W W W 2.26 86
3 VIL Villarreal 38 22 6 10 72 46 +26 58.3 W D L L W 1.89 72
4 ATM Atletico Madrid 38 21 6 11 62 44 +18 57.8 W L W W L 1.82 69
5 BET Real Betis 38 15 15 8 59 48 +11 54.9 W D W L W 1.58 60
6 CEL Celta Vigo 38 14 12 12 53 48 +5 49.2 W W L D W 1.42 54
7 GET Getafe 38 15 6 17 32 38 -6 30.6 L D W L W 1.34 51
8 RAY Rayo Vallecano 38 12 14 12 41 44 -3 50.4 W D D W W 1.32 50
9 VAL Valencia 38 13 10 15 46 55 -9 49.1 L W D W W 1.29 49
10 RSO Real Sociedad 38 11 13 14 59 61 -2 50.2 L D D L D 1.21 46
11 ESP Espanyol 38 12 10 16 43 55 -12 48.0 L L W W D 1.21 46
12 BIL Athletic Club 38 13 6 19 43 58 -15 49.6 W L L D L 1.18 45
13 SEV Sevilla 38 12 7 19 46 60 -14 38.5 W W W L L 1.13 43
14 ALA Alaves 38 11 10 17 44 56 -12 46.3 L D W W L 1.13 43
15 ELC Elche 38 10 13 15 49 57 -8 41.7 L D L W D 1.13 43
16 LEV Levante 38 11 9 18 47 61 -14 51.3 L W W W L 1.11 42
17 OSA Osasuna 38 11 9 18 44 50 -6 44.5 L L L L L 1.11 42
18 MAL Mallorca 38 11 9 18 47 57 -10 43.1 W D L L W 1.11 42
19 GIR Girona 38 9 14 15 39 55 -16 47.6 L D D L D 1.08 41
20 OVI Oviedo 38 6 11 21 26 60 -34 33.8 L D L L L 0.76 29
Champions League Europa League Conference League Relegation

Top players

Goals & assists leaderboards · per-90 on the right
Open stats →

⚽ Top scorers

Race · K. Mbappé +2 lead
1 Kylian Mbappé
Real Madrid · Attacker · 31 starts
0.86per 90
25
2 V. Muriqi
Mallorca · Attacker · 37 starts
0.66per 90
23
3 A. Budimir
Osasuna · Attacker · 37 starts
0.52per 90
17
4 Lamine Yamal
Barcelona · Midfielder · 28 starts
0.63per 90
16
5 Ferran Torres
Barcelona · Attacker · 33 starts
0.73per 90
16
6 Vinícius Júnior
Real Madrid · Midfielder · 36 starts
0.51per 90
16
7 Mikel Oyarzabal
Real Sociedad · Attacker · 34 starts
0.50per 90
15

🎯 Top assists

Race · L. Yamal +1 lead
1 Lamine Yamal
Barcelona · Midfielder · 28 starts
0.44per 90
11
2 Luis Milla
Getafe · Midfielder · 37 starts
0.27per 90
10
3 Fermín
Barcelona · Midfielder · 30 starts
0.45per 90
9
4 A. Güler
Real Madrid · Midfielder · 33 starts
0.40per 90
9
5 Pedri
Barcelona · Midfielder · 29 starts
0.38per 90
9
6 Dani Olmo
Barcelona · Midfielder · 33 starts
0.35per 90
8
7 F. Valverde
Real Madrid · Midfielder · 33 starts
0.26per 90
8

La Liga Predictions & Season Analysis

La Liga is Spanish football at its most technical: possession-based build-up, compact defensive blocks and matches that are often decided by a single moment of quality rather than chaos. For predictions that means lower-scoring games than the Premier League on average, a higher draw rate in the mid-table, and strong, reliable home advantage across the division.

Historically the title is a two- or three-horse race between Real Madrid, Barcelona and Atlético Madrid, while the rest of the league is built on disciplined, well-coached sides that are hard to beat at home. El Clásico aside, the value in La Liga sits in understanding how organised the smaller clubs are — they concede few, so overs and heavy favourite handicaps can be traps.

How we predict La Liga matches

Because La Liga games are tighter, our model puts extra weight on defensive solidity, home/away splits and rest, and is cautious with high-total markets. Spanish sides also rotate heavily around European nights, so squad news matters more than in most leagues.

  • Title race: Real Madrid and Barcelona set the standard, with Atlético Madrid the most consistent third force.
  • Champions League places: a cluster of clubs (Athletic, Real Sociedad, Betis, Villarreal) fight for the European spots, often separated by goal difference.
  • Relegation: defensively organised strugglers make the bottom three a low-scoring, fine-margins battle.

The title race usually comes down to the head-to-head meetings and which of the top two slips up against a stubborn mid-table side — exactly the upsets our model flags when a favourite is overpriced.

La Liga betting tips & value bets

In La Liga, the smart angles are often "under" markets and draw-no-bet on the favourites away from home, where Spanish defensive structure suppresses goals. Backing big handicaps on Madrid or Barcelona against a deep block is where casual bettors lose money.

Check our La Liga football forecasts for upcoming fixtures and the latest value bets where the model probability beats the bookmaker price.

Are La Liga matches low scoring?

La Liga is generally more tactical and lower-scoring than the Premier League or Bundesliga, with strong defensive organisation across the table — which is why "under" markets often hold value.

Who will win La Liga this season?

Real Madrid and Barcelona are the perennial favourites, with Atlético Madrid the most reliable challenger. The title usually hinges on the El Clásico results and dropped points against organised mid-table sides.

Do you publish free La Liga predictions?

Yes — our forecasts and value-bet hubs cover upcoming La Liga fixtures with AI probabilities and the odds that offer an edge, free to view.