P
Prognosist
P
Home Spain La Liga Alaves — Atletico Madrid

Preview Alaves vs Atletico Madrid October 11, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

Spain   /   La Liga
Alaves
Alaves
Home · last 5 W D
Kick-off
Sun 11 Oct · 15:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
W D Away · last 5
Home Win · ALA
%
Best
Draw
%
Best
Away Win · ATM
%
Best
AI preview · 90 sec read

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Alaves
W/D/L 3-1-1
Goals (for / against) 7 / 3
Avg goals / match 2.0
Scored in 5/5
Clean sheets 3/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 2/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-0-1
Away (W-D-L) 1-1-0
xG (for / against) 1.52 / 0.60
Atletico Madrid
W/D/L 3-1-1
Goals (for / against) 8 / 8
Avg goals / match 3.2
Scored in 5/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-1-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-0-1
xG (for / against) 1.25 / 2.11

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
2
Goals Scored
2
0.50
Goals Conceded
1
1.88
Expected Goals (xG)
0.76
5.50
Shots on Target
5
6
Corners
5.50
52
Possession (%)
52.50
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
71
OFF · home
29
100
DEF · home
29
73
OFF · away
93
DEF · away
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

Alaves wins when scoring first
50%
Atletico Madrid wins when scoring first
80%
Alaves BTTS rate · last 10
70%
Atletico Madrid BTTS rate · last 10
50%
Alaves Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
Atletico Madrid Over 2.5 · last 10
40%
Alaves comeback rate · last 10
100%
Atletico Madrid comeback rate · last 10
0%

🔥 Goal timing

Alaves · last 10 at home

0–15 27%
16–30 0%
31–45 13%
46–60 13%
61–75 20%
76–90 27%

Atletico Madrid · last 10 away

0–15 17%
16–30 0%
31–45 33%
46–60 8%
61–75 25%
76–90 17%
Balanced — goals spread evenly across the match.

Top scorers

M. Díaz
ALA · Attacker
2 G
N. Tenaglia
ALA · Defender
1 G · 0.50 g/90
Álex Baena
ATM · Midfielder
1 G
Lee Kang-In
ATM · Midfielder
1 G · 0.91 g/90