Alaves vs Atletico Madrid 1:2 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.00 — +14.4% better than the market.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 2.00 ✗ Lost

AI 57% Implied 50% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

ALA 4-4-2 · ATM 4-4-2

ALA · 4-4-2 4-4-2 · ATM

11 Martínez

Subs used · ALA

64'

Protesoni ↑ ·

Blanco ↓

64'

Díaz ↑ ·

Martínez ↓

64'

Guevara ↑ ·

Boyé ↓

71'

Koski ↑ ·

Valentini ↓

79'

Mañas ↑ ·

Suárez ↓

Subs used · ATM

45'

Rodríguez ↑ ·

David ↓

45'

Álvarez ↑ ·

Lookman ↓

57'

Kang-In ↑ ·

Rivas ↓

62'

Hancko ↑ ·

Normand ↓

73'

Sørloth ↑ ·

Baldini ↓

Statistics

ALA 1 – 2 ATM

32%

Possession (%)

68%

1.13

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.06

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

17 · 1 – 2

33'

⚽

Alejandro Grimaldo

Assist · Jonathan David · 0–1

45'

▮

Ademola Lookman

Yellow Card

45'

⇄

Alejandro Baena Rodríguez ↓ · Jonathan David ↑

Substitution 1

45'

⇄

Julián Álvarez ↓ · Ademola Lookman ↑

Substitution 2

45+1'

▮

Robin Le Normand

Yellow Card

Lucas Boyé (P)

Penalty · 1–1

⚽

45+6'

Half-time · 1 – 1

57'

⇄

Lee Kang-In ↓ · Pablo Barrios Rivas ↑

Substitution 3

Angel Pérez Hidalgo

Red Card

▮

61'

62'

⇄

Dávid Hancko ↓ · Robin Le Normand ↑

Substitution 4

Carlos Protesoni ↓ · Antonio Blanco ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

64'

Mariano Díaz ↓ · Toni Martínez ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

64'

Ander Guevara ↓ · Lucas Boyé ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

64'

Ville Koski ↓ · Nicolas Valentini ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

71'

73'

⇄

Alexander Sørloth ↓ · Giuliano Simeone Baldini ↑

Substitution 5

Aitor Mañas ↓ · Denis Suárez ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

79'

87'

⚽

Cristian Romero

Assist · Alejandro Baena Rodríguez · 1–2

90+2'

▮

Johnny Cardoso

Yellow Card

Full-time · 1 – 2

Match recap

Atletico Madrid won 2–1 away at Alaves. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 68% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.06 to 1.13. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 20 shots to 8, 7 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 10 to 0. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Alejandro Grimaldo (33'), Lucas Boyé (45+6'), Cristian Romero (87'). Angel Pérez Hidalgo was sent off in the 61' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.37 units (Brier 0.130).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.00	2.00	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	1.85	1.80	59%	Cashed	+0.85	Cashed
BTTS No	2.00	2.00	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.74	1.75	47%	Cashed	+0.74	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.91	1.98	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.80	1.80	43%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.78	3.80	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	11.00	10.99	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.35	1.36	77%	Cashed	+0.35	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.22	1.22	83%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.39	1.33	59%	Cashed	+0.39	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.07	3.10	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.03	1.04	89%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Draw	3.65	3.75	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.25	1.25	68%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
AH Home 0	3.13	3.13	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	4.00	4.39	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.37u	−32% ROI

Alaves vs Atletico Madrid 1:2: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled