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Home › Spain › La Liga › Alaves — Atletico Madrid

Predictions by Market: Alaves vs Atletico Madrid

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Alaves
Alaves
Home · last 5 W L L D L
Kick-off
Sat 10 Oct · 14:15
1:2
Full-time
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
L W W W W Away · last 5
Estadio de Mendizorroza · Victoria-Gasteiz Referee Alejandro Quintero Gonzalez

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · ALA
17%
Best 4.60
Draw
24%
Best 3.92
Away Win · ATM
59%
Best 1.85
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 2.00
Fair odds
1.75
book 2.00 · +14.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 57% · EV +14.4%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 58.5%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality High
✓ Draw
Probability 24.1%
Odds 3.65
Show model details
Implied probability 27.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 17.4%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 57.2%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 42.8%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 32.4%
Odds 3.78
Show model details
Implied probability 26.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 10.7%
Odds 11.00
Show model details
Implied probability 9.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 77.4%
Odds 1.35
Show model details
Implied probability 74.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 22.7%
Odds 3.07
Show model details
Implied probability 32.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 89.3%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 67.6%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Top pick
Probability 52.9%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 47.1%
Odds 1.74
Show model details
Implied probability 57.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 58.5%
Odds 1.39
Show model details
Implied probability 71.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 17.4%
Odds 3.13
Show model details
Implied probability 32%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 41.5%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 82.6%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
ALA – ATM @ 2.00
+14.4%
Edge
Forecast →