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⚽ Football 📰 News 📈 Forecasts 📅 Today 💹 Value Bets 🏅 Tipsters 🎫 Bookmakers 🏆 Tournament

Football Value Bets Today

A football value bet is a betting opportunity where the estimated probability of an outcome is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker’s odds. Implied probability is simply what the odds translate into — decimal odds of 2.00 imply a 50% chance — so a selection has value when its true probability looks higher than the price suggests.

Prognosist compares AI-based match probabilities with available bookmaker odds to highlight potential market edge. Each value bet may include the estimated probability, the implied probability, the expected value (EV) and an odds comparison, where EV measures how much an outcome appears mispriced. A positive value does not guarantee a winning bet, but it can help identify selections where the price may be better than the underlying probability suggests. Use value bets as part of a disciplined betting strategy, not as a promise of profit, and never stake more than you can afford to lose.

Value Bets

Picks where the model thinks the price is wrong — next 3 days across all leagues

59 picks

Germany / Germany Bundesliga

6 matches

▾

Time Match Bet Model Market Edge EV

Goals Total Under 2.5 goals

1899 Hoffenheim

Both Teams To Score Both teams to score — No

Borussia Dortmund

Both Teams To Score Both teams to score — No

SC Paderborn 07

Goals Total Under 3.5 goals

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Goals Total Under 3.5 goals

Bayer Leverkusen

Goals Total Under 3.5 goals

Netherlands / Eredivisie

6 matches

▾

Time Match Bet Model Market Edge EV

Goals Total Under 2.5 goals

Fortuna Sittard

Goals Total Under 3.5 goals

Goals Total Over 3.5 goals

Goals Total Under 3.5 goals

Goals Total Under 3.5 goals

GO Ahead Eagles

Sparta Rotterdam

Goals Total Under 3.5 goals

England / Premier League

6 matches

▾

Time Match Bet Model Market Edge EV

Goals Total Under 2.5 goals

Goals Total Under 2.5 goals

Both Teams To Score Both teams to score — No

Goals Total Under 2.5 goals

Manchester City

Goals Total Under 3.5 goals

Manchester United

Goals Total Under 3.5 goals

Spain / La Liga

6 matches

▾

Time Match Bet Model Market Edge EV

Racing Santander

Goals Total Under 2.5 goals

Goals Total Under 2.5 goals

Deportivo La Coruna

Goals Total Under 2.5 goals

Goals Total Under 2.5 goals

Atletico Madrid

Goals Total Under 2.5 goals

Goals Total Under 2.5 goals

Belgium / Jupiler Pro League

5 matches

▾

Time Match Bet Model Market Edge EV

Goals Total Under 2.5 goals

Goals Total Under 2.5 goals

RAAL La Louvière

Goals Total Under 3.5 goals

Union St. Gilloise

Goals Total Under 3.5 goals

Goals Total Under 3.5 goals

France / Ligue 1

4 matches

▾

Time Match Bet Model Market Edge EV

Paris Saint Germain

Goals Total Under 3.5 goals

Goals Total Under 2.5 goals

Goals Total Under 2.5 goals

Goals Total Under 2.5 goals

Turkey / Süper Lig

4 matches

▾

Time Match Bet Model Market Edge EV

Goals Total Under 2.5 goals

Goals Total Under 2.5 goals

Goals Total Under 2.5 goals

Goals Total Under 2.5 goals

Switzerland / Super League

4 matches

▾

Time Match Bet Model Market Edge EV

Goals Total Under 3.5 goals

Goals Total Under 3.5 goals

Goals Total Under 3.5 goals

Goals Total Under 3.5 goals

Austria / Bundesliga

3 matches

▾

Time Match Bet Model Market Edge EV

Goals Total Under 2.5 goals

Both Teams To Score Both teams to score — No

Austria Lustenau

Goals Total Under 2.5 goals

Scotland / Premiership

3 matches

▾

Time Match Bet Model Market Edge EV

Both Teams To Score Both teams to score — No

Goals Total Under 2.5 goals

Goals Total Under 3.5 goals

— / Czech Liga

3 matches

▾

Time Match Bet Model Market Edge EV

Hradec Králové

Goals Total Under 2.5 goals

Goals Total Under 2.5 goals

Goals Total Under 2.5 goals

Portugal / Primeira Liga

3 matches

▾

Time Match Bet Model Market Edge EV

Academico Viseu

Goals Total Under 2.5 goals

Goals Total Under 2.5 goals

Goals Total Under 2.5 goals

Poland / Ekstraklasa

2 matches

▾

Time Match Bet Model Market Edge EV

Wieczysta Kraków

Both Teams To Score Both teams to score — No

Both Teams To Score Both teams to score — No

Italy / Serie A

2 matches

▾

Time Match Bet Model Market Edge EV

Goals Total Over 2.5 goals

Goals Total Under 2.5 goals

Denmark / Superliga

2 matches

▾

Time Match Bet Model Market Edge EV

Goals Total Under 2.5 goals

Goals Total Under 2.5 goals

Keep exploring

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Value betting FAQ

What is a football value bet?

A value bet is a selection where the estimated probability of an outcome is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker’s odds, which suggests the price may be in your favour.

How is expected value calculated?

Expected value compares the estimated probability of an outcome with the odds on offer. In simple terms, EV = (probability × (odds − 1)) − (1 − probability); a positive result points to potential edge over the long run.

Are value bets guaranteed to win?

No. A single bet can always lose regardless of the price. Value betting is a long-term approach for finding mispriced odds, not a promise of profit.

Why can AI probability differ from bookmaker odds?

Models and bookmakers weigh information differently — form, injuries, schedule and market movements. When the AI probability and the odds disagree, that gap is where potential value appears.