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Prognosist
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La Liga

La Liga Predictions, Fixtures & Standings

Spain · Tier 1 · 20 clubs · 10 rounds · Season 2026/27
Regular Season - 8 Next Sun 11 Oct
Matches played
73/380
307 to go · 19 % done
Goals / match
3.00
season avg
Home win %
45%
73 decided matches
Draw %
25%
73 decided matches
Away win %
30%
73 decided matches
Title leader
Barcelona
24 pts · +5 clear

League table

After 73 of 380 matches · PPG on the right
Open full table →
# Club P W D L GF GA GD xG Form PPG Pts
1 BAR Barcelona 8 8 0 0 34 7 +27 12.8 W W W W W 3.00 24
2 ATM Atletico Madrid 8 6 1 1 18 8 +10 4.5 L W W W W 2.38 19
3 REA Real Madrid 8 6 0 2 19 8 +11 6.7 L W W L W 2.25 18
4 BET Real Betis 7 5 1 1 9 7 +2 3.7 L W W W D 2.29 16
5 SEV Sevilla 7 4 1 2 10 9 +1 3.7 L D W W L 1.86 13
6 ALA Alaves 8 3 2 3 12 8 +4 5.7 W L L D L 1.38 11
7 COR Deportivo La Coruna 7 2 4 1 10 8 +2 2.9 W W D L D 1.43 10
8 RSO Real Sociedad 7 3 1 3 9 13 -4 3.6 W D W L W 1.43 10
9 RAY Rayo Vallecano 7 2 2 3 11 16 -5 3.5 L W L W D 1.14 8
10 OSA Osasuna 7 2 2 3 6 13 -7 5.1 W L L L D 1.14 8
11 ESP Espanyol 8 2 2 4 11 11 0 3.9 D W L L D 1.00 8
12 BIL Athletic Club 6 2 2 2 7 6 +1 4.1 L W W D D 1.33 8
13 VIL Villarreal 8 2 2 4 13 13 0 6.4 L L W W L 1.00 8
14 GET Getafe 8 2 2 4 4 10 -6 2.3 D D L W L 1.00 8
15 CEL Celta Vigo 7 1 4 2 8 6 +2 1.4 L D D D W 1.00 7
16 SAN Racing Santander 7 2 1 4 11 21 -10 4.5 W L W L L 1.00 7
17 LEV Levante 6 1 2 3 8 12 -4 4.6 D W D L L 0.83 5
18 ELC Elche 7 1 2 4 11 17 -6 3.2 L L D L W 0.71 5
19 MAL Malaga 8 0 4 4 4 13 -9 3.6 D D L L D 0.50 4
20 VAL Valencia 7 1 1 5 4 13 -9 3.1 L L L W L 0.57 4
Champions League Europa League Conference League Relegation

Top players

Goals & assists leaderboards · per-90 on the right
Open stats →

⚽ Top scorers

Race · Raphinha +5 lead
1 Raphinha
Barcelona · Forward · 7 starts
1.95per 90
12
2 Sergio Camello
Rayo Vallecano · Attacker · 7 starts
1.34per 90
7
3 Kylian Mbappé
Real Madrid · Attacker · 7 starts
1.00per 90
7
4 Lamine Yamal
Barcelona · Attacker · 7 starts
1.08per 90
7
5 Roberto Fernández
Espanyol · Attacker · 7 starts
0.88per 90
6
6 M. Zabiri
Racing Santander · Attacker · 7 starts
1.40per 90
6
7 P. Aubameyang
Deportivo La Coruna · Attacker · 7 starts
0.80per 90
5

🎯 Top assists

Race · J. Hernandez leads
1 Javier Hernandez
Espanyol · Midfielder · 7 starts
0.64per 90
4
2 A. Gordon
Barcelona · Attacker · 6 starts
0.91per 90
4
3 Lamine Yamal
Barcelona · Attacker · 7 starts
0.62per 90
4
4 M. Díaz
Alaves · Attacker · 7 starts
0.84per 90
3
5 Alberto Moleiro
Villarreal · Midfielder · 7 starts
0.66per 90
3
6 Raphinha
Barcelona · Forward · 7 starts
0.49per 90
3
7 Vinícius Júnior
Real Madrid · Midfielder · 7 starts
0.48per 90
3

La Liga Predictions & Season Analysis

La Liga is Spanish football at its most technical: possession-based build-up, compact defensive blocks and matches that are often decided by a single moment of quality rather than chaos. For predictions that means lower-scoring games than the Premier League on average, a higher draw rate in the mid-table, and strong, reliable home advantage across the division.

Historically the title is a two- or three-horse race between Real Madrid, Barcelona and Atlético Madrid, while the rest of the league is built on disciplined, well-coached sides that are hard to beat at home. El Clásico aside, the value in La Liga sits in understanding how organised the smaller clubs are — they concede few, so overs and heavy favourite handicaps can be traps.

How we predict La Liga matches

Because La Liga games are tighter, our model puts extra weight on defensive solidity, home/away splits and rest, and is cautious with high-total markets. Spanish sides also rotate heavily around European nights, so squad news matters more than in most leagues.

  • Title race: Real Madrid and Barcelona set the standard, with Atlético Madrid the most consistent third force.
  • Champions League places: a cluster of clubs (Athletic, Real Sociedad, Betis, Villarreal) fight for the European spots, often separated by goal difference.
  • Relegation: defensively organised strugglers make the bottom three a low-scoring, fine-margins battle.

The title race usually comes down to the head-to-head meetings and which of the top two slips up against a stubborn mid-table side — exactly the upsets our model flags when a favourite is overpriced.

La Liga betting tips & value bets

In La Liga, the smart angles are often "under" markets and draw-no-bet on the favourites away from home, where Spanish defensive structure suppresses goals. Backing big handicaps on Madrid or Barcelona against a deep block is where casual bettors lose money.

Check our La Liga football forecasts for upcoming fixtures and the latest value bets where the model probability beats the bookmaker price.

Are La Liga matches low scoring?

La Liga is generally more tactical and lower-scoring than the Premier League or Bundesliga, with strong defensive organisation across the table — which is why "under" markets often hold value.

Who will win La Liga this season?

Real Madrid and Barcelona are the perennial favourites, with Atlético Madrid the most reliable challenger. The title usually hinges on the El Clásico results and dropped points against organised mid-table sides.

Do you publish free La Liga predictions?

Yes — our forecasts and value-bet hubs cover upcoming La Liga fixtures with AI probabilities and the odds that offer an edge, free to view.