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Home › Spain › La Liga › Racing Santander — Valencia

Prediction: Racing Santander vs Valencia, October 11

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Racing Santander
Racing Santander
Home · last 5 W L W L L
Kick-off
Sun 11 Oct · 19:00
—:—
Pre-match · scheduled
Valencia
Valencia
L L L W L Away · last 5
El Sardinero · Santander

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · SAN
52%
Best 2.42
Draw
25%
Best 3.72
Away Win · VAL
23%
Best 3.00

Model verdict

Model leans toward Under 2.5 goals — 55% probability.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 52% Racing Santander win
Over/Under 2.5 55% Under 2.5
BTTS 52% No
Double Chance 77% 1X
  • 1X2 Racing Santander win 52%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 55%
  • BTTS No 52%
  • Double Chance 1X 77%
Open betting analysis

Odds movement · 1X2

72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win Draw Away Win
See full odds

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Racing Santander
W/D/L 2-0-3
Goals (for / against) 9 / 18
Avg goals / match 5.4
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 0/5
Both teams scored 4/5
Over 2.5 5/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-0-0
Away (W-D-L) 0-0-3
xG (for / against) 1.50 / 1.06
Valencia
W/D/L 1-0-4
Goals (for / against) 4 / 12
Avg goals / match 3.2
Scored in 3/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 0-0-2
Away (W-D-L) 1-0-2
xG (for / against) 1.33 / 1.42

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
1.57
Goals Scored
0.57
3
Goals Conceded
1.86
0.64
Expected Goals (xG)
0.44
4.14
Shots on Target
2.71
4.29
Corners
4.43
48
Possession (%)
47.43
99.44
Efficiency index
80.82
102.64
Adjusted index
60.77
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
70
OFF · home
15
75
DEF · home
15
45
OFF · away
20
5
DEF · away
90
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

Scenario insights

①
Racing Santander wins when scoring first
25%
①
Valencia wins when scoring first
100%
⚽
Racing Santander BTTS rate · last 7
71%
⚽
Valencia BTTS rate · last 10
50%
↑
Racing Santander Over 2.5 · last 7
86%
↑
Valencia Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
↩
Racing Santander comeback rate · last 7
0%
↩
Valencia comeback rate · last 10
0%

Goal timing

Racing Santander · last 3 at home

0–15 14%
16–30 29%
31–45 43%
46–60 14%
61–75 0%
76–90 0%

Valencia · last 10 away

0–15 8%
16–30 33%
31–45 17%
46–60 0%
61–75 17%
76–90 25%
First-half-heavy — over half the goals before the break.

Top scorers

M. Zabiri
SAN · Attacker
6 G · 1.40 g/90
Sergio Martínez
SAN · Midfielder
1 G