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Racing Santander vs Valencia 2:2: Match Review & Stats

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Racing Santander
Racing Santander
Home · last 5 L W L L D
Kick-off
Sun 11 Oct · 19:00
2:2
Full-time
Valencia
Valencia
L W L D D Away · last 5
Estadio El Sardinero · Santander Referee Luis Bestard Servera
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 55% · book 2.10 ✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 52% · book 2.23 ✗
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 52% · book 2.15 ✗
Total goals
4
2 · 2
xG (open play)
1.35 – 1.71
Δ −0.36
Possession
54% – 46%
AI accuracy
7 / 15
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 2.15 — +12.5% better than the market.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Home Win
Home Win @ 2.15 ✗ Lost
AI 52% Implied 47% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

SAN 4-2-3-1 · VAL 4-5-1
Subs used · SAN
61' Martín ↑ · Almeida ↓
61' Caricol ↑ · Parra ↓
75' García ↑ · Canales ↓
87' Gueye ↑ · Prati ↓
87' Villalibre ↑ · Zabiri ↓
Subs used · VAL
45' Danjuma ↑ · Diakhaby ↓
58' Ejededawe ↑ · Ugrinic ↓
58' Elliott ↑ · Antolín ↓
85' Dieng ↑ · Guerra ↓
86' López ↑ · Maffeo ↓

Statistics

SAN 2 – 2 VAL
54%
Possession (%)
46%
1.35
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.71
20
Total Shots
10
11
Shots on Target
2
5
Shots off Target
6
7
Shots Inside Box
7
8
Corner Kicks
3
1
Offsides
1
15
Fouls
10
3
Yellow Cards
3
0
Goalkeeper Saves
9

Match events

20 · 2 – 2
2'
⚽
Daniel Raba Antolín
Assist · Justin De Haas · 0–1
Pablo Ramon Parra
Yellow Card
▮
22'
Yassir Zabiri
Assist · Iñigo Vicente · 1–1
⚽
32'
45'
⇄
Arnaut Danjuma ↓ · Mouctar Diakhaby ↑
Substitution 1
45+2'
▮
Guido Rodríguez
Yellow Card
Jorge Salinas Viadero
Yellow Card
▮
45+2'
Half-time · 1 – 1
Iván Martín
2–1
⚽
47'
45+4'
▮
Daniel Raba Antolín
Yellow Card
58'
⇄
David Otorbi Ejededawe ↓ · Filip Ugrinic ↑
Substitution 2
58'
⇄
Harvey Elliott ↓ · Daniel Raba Antolín ↑
Substitution 3
Andrés Martín ↓ · André Almeida ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
61'
Aarón Martin Caricol ↓ · Pablo Ramon Parra ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
61'
65'
⚽
David Otorbi Ejededawe
Assist · Javi Guerra · 2–2
72'
▮
Pablo Maffeo
Yellow Card
Pablo García ↓ · Sergio Canales ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
75'
85'
⇄
Aliou Dieng ↓ · Javi Guerra ↑
Substitution 4
86'
⇄
Arnau Martínez López ↓ · Pablo Maffeo ↑
Substitution 5
Maguette Gueye ↓ · Matteo Prati ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
87'
Asier Villalibre ↓ · Yassir Zabiri ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
87'
Iván Martín
Yellow Card
▮
90+2'
Full-time · 2 – 2

Match recap

Racing Santander and Valencia drew 2–2. At half-time it was 1–1.

In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 20 shots to 10, 11 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 8 to 3. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 9 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Daniel Raba Antolín (2'), Yassir Zabiri (32'), Iván Martín (47'), David Otorbi Ejededawe (65').

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -1.19 units (Brier 0.265).

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.10 2.20 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.23 2.39 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.15 2.20 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.79 1.64 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.67 1.64 48% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.73 1.67 45% Cashed +0.73 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.62 1.54 48% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.68 2.62 25% Cashed +1.68 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.34 2.33 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.43 1.47 75% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.16 4.50 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.35 1.36 77% Cashed +0.35 Cashed
Away Win 3.10 3.19 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.55 3.50 25% Cashed +2.55 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.21 1.20 69% Cashed +0.21 Cashed
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each — — — 7 W · 8 L −1.19u −8% ROI
Value pick of the night · Home Win
SAN – VAL @ 2.15
+12.5%
Edge
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