P
Prognosist
P
Ligue 1

Ligue 1 Predictions, Fixtures & Standings

France · Tier 1 · 18 clubs · 9 rounds · Season 2026/27
Regular Season - 6 Next Sun 11 Oct
Matches played
51/306
255 to go · 17 % done
Goals / match
2.88
season avg
Home win %
45%
51 decided matches
Draw %
27%
51 decided matches
Away win %
27%
51 decided matches
Title leader
Monaco
14 pts · +1 clear

Upcoming matches

Next round fixtures · open the match for predictions and odds
Full fixtures →
France / Regular Season - 6
3 matches
▾
Showing 3 fixtures of round Regular Season - 6 Open fixtures →

League table

After 51 of 306 matches · PPG on the right
Open full table →
# Club P W D L GF GA GD xG Form PPG Pts
1 MON Monaco 6 4 2 0 10 5 +5 4.0 W W D W D 2.33 14
2 LIL Lille 6 4 1 1 9 4 +5 3.6 D W W L W 2.17 13
3 LYO Lyon 6 3 2 1 11 4 +7 2.9 D W D W L 1.83 11
4 PAR Paris FC 6 3 2 1 8 4 +4 4.2 W W D W L 1.83 11
5 PSG Paris Saint Germain 6 3 2 1 11 8 +3 7.3 D L W W W 1.83 11
6 REN Rennes 5 3 1 1 8 9 -1 3.7 D W W W L 2.00 10
7 BRE Stade Brestois 29 6 2 2 2 12 9 +3 8.2 D W L L W 1.33 8
8 LOR Lorient 6 2 2 2 6 6 0 2.5 L W D L W 1.33 8
9 STR Strasbourg 5 2 1 2 10 10 0 1.9 L W W D L 1.40 7
10 ANG Angers 6 2 1 3 7 10 -3 5.1 W L D W L 1.17 7
11 LEN Lens 6 2 1 3 11 10 +1 8.8 L L D L W 1.17 7
12 LE Le Mans 6 1 3 2 10 12 -2 5.3 L D D W L 1.00 6
13 TOU Toulouse 6 1 3 2 9 11 -2 5.2 D L D W D 1.00 6
14 AUX Auxerre 5 2 0 3 7 12 -5 3.1 L L L W W 1.20 6
15 NIC Nice 5 1 2 2 3 6 -3 1.5 D L D L W 1.00 5
16 TRO Estac Troyes 5 1 1 3 4 11 -7 2.0 D W L L L 0.80 4
17 MAR Marseille 5 1 0 4 7 8 -1 3.1 W L L L L 0.60 3
18 HAV Le Havre 6 0 2 4 4 8 -4 2.6 D L D L L 0.33 2
Champions League Europa League Conference League Relegation

Top players

Goals & assists leaderboards · per-90 on the right
Open stats →

⚽ Top scorers

Race · A. Gouiri leads
1 A. Gouiri
Marseille · Attacker · 5 starts
0.80per 90
4
2 K. Doumbia
Stade Brestois 29 · Midfielder · 5 starts
0.88per 90
4
3 Ferran Torres
Paris Saint Germain · Attacker · 5 starts
1.43per 90
4
4 Paris Josua  Brunner
Monaco · Attacker · 5 starts
0.92per 90
4
5 L. Sinayoko
Paris FC · Attacker · 5 starts
0.83per 90
4
6 F. Thauvin
Lens · Attacker · 5 starts
0.60per 90
3
7 L. Mafouta
Le Mans · Attacker · 5 starts
0.64per 90
3

🎯 Top assists

Race · C. Cásseres +1 lead
1 C. Cásseres
Toulouse · Midfielder · 5 starts
0.80per 90
4
2 P. Šulc
Lyon · Midfielder · 5 starts
1.05per 90
3
3 P. Katseris
Lorient · Defender · 5 starts
1.53per 90
3
4 S. Nanasi
Strasbourg · Midfielder · 5 starts
0.47per 90
2
5 F. Thauvin
Lens · Attacker · 5 starts
0.40per 90
2
6 A. Bourabaa
Le Mans · Midfielder · 5 starts
0.45per 90
2
7 Fabián Ruiz
Paris Saint Germain · Midfielder · 5 starts
0.61per 90
2

Ligue 1 Predictions & Season Analysis

Ligue 1 is France's top flight and one of Europe's best talent factories, but it is also the most top-heavy of the big leagues. Paris Saint-Germain's financial muscle has made them dominant favourites most seasons, which shapes the entire betting market: the interest — and the value — lies in everything happening behind them.

Below PSG, clubs like Monaco, Marseille, Lille and Lyon trade places, and the league is full of athletic, transition-based sides that can beat anyone on their day. That volatility outside the top spot is where model-driven Ligue 1 predictions earn their keep.

How we predict Ligue 1 matches

Our Ligue 1 model treats PSG as heavy favourites but is wary of their inflated prices and rotation, and focuses on the genuinely competitive mid-table where xG and form gaps are smaller and the odds are softer.

  • Title race: PSG are the standing favourites; the question most seasons is the margin, not the winner.
  • European places: Monaco, Marseille, Lille, Lyon and Nice fight for the Champions League and Europa spots — the most competitive market in the league.
  • Relegation: several similar-quality sides make the bottom of the table genuinely open.

Because the title is often effectively decided early, the smart money in Ligue 1 moves to the European and relegation races, where motivation and form swings create the real edges.

Ligue 1 betting tips & value bets

The recurring trap in Ligue 1 is over-staking PSG on big handicaps when they rest players. The value is in the chasing pack matches and in well-priced underdogs at home against the elite. Treat the title market with caution and hunt edges further down the table.

See our Ligue 1 football forecasts for the upcoming round and the day's value bets with positive expected value.

Is Ligue 1 just PSG?

PSG are usually the dominant favourites, but the race for European places and survival is genuinely competitive — and that is where most of the betting value in Ligue 1 sits.

Who challenges PSG in Ligue 1?

Monaco, Marseille, Lille and Lyon are the usual challengers, though the gap to PSG is often financial as much as sporting.

Are there free Ligue 1 betting tips?

Yes — our forecasts and value-bet hubs publish free Ligue 1 predictions for upcoming fixtures with AI probabilities and edge-positive odds.