Model verdict
Model leans toward Marseille to win — 58% probability.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 58% | Marseille win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 50% | Over 2.5 |
| BTTS | 50% | Yes |
| Double Chance | 82% | X2 |
- 1X2 Marseille win 58%
- Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 50%
- BTTS Yes 50%
- Double Chance X2 82%
Odds movement · 1X2
72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Estac Troyes
W/D/L
1-1-3
Goals (for / against)
4 / 11
Avg goals / match
3.0
Scored in
2/5
Clean sheets
1/5
Both teams scored
2/5
Over 2.5
2/5
Home (W-D-L)
0-1-1
Away (W-D-L)
1-0-2
xG (for / against)
0.98 / 0.95
Marseille
W/D/L
0-0-5
Goals (for / against)
4 / 12
Avg goals / match
3.2
Scored in
3/5
Clean sheets
0/5
Both teams scored
3/5
Over 2.5
3/5
Home (W-D-L)
0-0-2
Away (W-D-L)
0-0-3
xG (for / against)
1.22 / 1.49
Head-to-Head Performance
last 10 H2H · per matchEff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.
Team strength
0–100 rating vs league · season-to-dateEach axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.
Scenario insights
①
Estac Troyes wins when scoring first
33%
①
Marseille wins when scoring first
75%
⚽
Estac Troyes BTTS rate · last 10
60%
⚽
Marseille BTTS rate · last 10
50%
↑
Estac Troyes Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
↑
Marseille Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
↩
Estac Troyes comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
Marseille comeback rate · last 10
0%
Goal timing
Estac Troyes · last 10 at home
0–15
11%
16–30
0%
31–45
33%
46–60
0%
61–75
22%
76–90
33%
Marseille · last 10 away
0–15
0%
16–30
40%
31–45
0%
46–60
40%
61–75
0%
76–90
20%
Second-half-heavy — most goals come after the break.
