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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Nice — Strasbourg

Prediction: Nice vs Strasbourg, October 11

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Nice
Nice
Home · last 5 D L D L W
Kick-off
Sun 11 Oct · 13:00
—:—
Pre-match · scheduled
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
L W W D L Away · last 5
Allianz Riviera · Nice Referee Jeremie Pignard

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · NIC
34%
Best 2.36
Draw
25%
Best 3.75
Away Win · STR
41%
Best 3.07

Model verdict

Model leans toward Under 2.5 goals — 53% probability.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 41% Strasbourg win
Over/Under 2.5 53% Under 2.5
BTTS 51% No
Double Chance 66% X2
  • 1X2 Strasbourg win 41%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 53%
  • BTTS No 51%
  • Double Chance X2 66%
Open betting analysis

Odds movement · 1X2

72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win Draw Away Win
See full odds

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Nice
W/D/L 1-2-2
Goals (for / against) 3 / 6
Avg goals / match 1.8
Scored in 2/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 2/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-2-0
Away (W-D-L) 0-0-2
xG (for / against) 0.75 / 1.81
Strasbourg
W/D/L 2-1-2
Goals (for / against) 10 / 10
Avg goals / match 4.0
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 0/5
Both teams scored 4/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-1-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-0-2
xG (for / against) 0.93 / 2.39

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
0.60
Goals Scored
2
1.20
Goals Conceded
2
0.30
Expected Goals (xG)
0.37
3
Shots on Target
4.80
5.40
Corners
1.80
57.20
Possession (%)
46.40
87.50
Efficiency index
120
65.09
Adjusted index
119.80
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
17
OFF · home
22
78
DEF · home
11
0
OFF · away
94
44
DEF · away
33
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

Scenario insights

①
Nice wins when scoring first
67%
①
Strasbourg wins when scoring first
33%
⚽
Nice BTTS rate · last 10
50%
⚽
Strasbourg BTTS rate · last 10
90%
↑
Nice Over 2.5 · last 10
40%
↑
Strasbourg Over 2.5 · last 10
80%
↩
Nice comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
Strasbourg comeback rate · last 10
75%

Goal timing

Nice · last 10 at home

0–15 9%
16–30 0%
31–45 18%
46–60 18%
61–75 18%
76–90 36%

Strasbourg · last 10 away

0–15 6%
16–30 6%
31–45 29%
46–60 6%
61–75 12%
76–90 41%
Late-game scoring — most goals come after the 60th.

Top scorers

S. Amo-Ameyaw
STR · Midfielder
2 G · 1.28 g/90
Gessime Yassine
STR · Midfielder
2 G · 0.41 g/90