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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Rennes — Auxerre

Rennes vs Auxerre 4:1: Match Review & Stats

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Rennes
Rennes
Home · last 5 W W W L W
Kick-off
Sun 11 Oct · 15:15
4:1
Full-time
Auxerre
Auxerre
L L W W L Away · last 5
Roazhon Park · Rennes Referee Willy Delajod
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 64% · book 1.69 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 43% · book 2.55 ✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 44% · book 2.13 ✗
Total goals
5
4 · 1
xG (open play)
2.61 – 1.77
Δ +0.84
Possession
58% – 42%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 0.5 at 19.50 — +10.5% better than the market.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 0.5
Under 0.5 @ 19.50 ✗ Lost
AI 6% Implied 5% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

REN 4-3-3 · AUX 4-3-3
Subs used · REN
67' Cissé ↑ · Thomasson ↓
67' Mayenda ↑ · Al-Tamari ↓
77' Dia ↑ · Lepaul ↓
77' Blas ↑ · Soumaré ↓
85' Frankowski ↑ · Nagida ↓
Subs used · AUX
76' Legros ↑ · Akpa ↓
77' Lascary ↑ · Namaso ↓
77' Ekwah ↑ · Ahamada ↓
82' Zossou ↑ · Piedfort ↓
87' Khoudda ↑ · Faivre ↓

Statistics

REN 4 – 1 AUX
58%
Possession (%)
42%
2.61
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.77
21
Total Shots
12
10
Shots on Target
5
5
Shots off Target
4
13
Shots Inside Box
5
12
Corner Kicks
5
2
Offsides
4
12
Fouls
11
4
Yellow Cards
0
4
Goalkeeper Saves
6

Match events

19 · 4 – 1
Esteban Lepaul
Assist · Charlie Cresswell · 1–0
⚽
15'
25'
⚽
Cameron Archer
Assist · Mamadou Diop · 1–1
Half-time · 1 – 1
Anthony Rouault
Yellow Card
▮
50'
Adrien Thomasson
Assist · Bryan Reynolds · 2–1
⚽
53'
Adrien Thomasson
Yellow Card
▮
59'
Esteban Lepaul
Yellow Card
▮
59'
Djaoui Cissé ↓ · Adrien Thomasson ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
67'
Eliezer Mayenda ↓ · Mousa Al-Tamari ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
67'
76'
⇄
Elikya Legros ↓ · Clément Akpa ↑
Substitution 1
77'
⇄
Remy Labeau Lascary ↓ · Danny Namaso ↑
Substitution 2
77'
⇄
Pierre Ekwah ↓ · Naouirou Ahamada ↑
Substitution 3
Boulaye Dia ↓ · Esteban Lepaul ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
77'
Ludovic Blas ↓ · Issa Soumaré ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
77'
82'
⇄
Aristide Zossou ↓ · Arthur Piedfort ↑
Substitution 4
Przemysław Frankowski ↓ · Mahamadou Nagida ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
85'
87'
⇄
Youssef Khoudda ↓ · Romain Faivre ↑
Substitution 5
Djaoui Cissé
Yellow Card
▮
90'
Boulaye Dia
Assist · Ludovic Blas · 3–1
⚽
90+2'
Boulaye Dia
Assist · Bryan Reynolds · 4–1
⚽
90+4'
Full-time · 4 – 1

Match recap

Rennes beat Auxerre 4–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 58% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.61 to 1.77. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 21 shots to 12, 10 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 12 to 5. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Esteban Lepaul (15'), Cameron Archer (25'), Adrien Thomasson (53'), Boulaye Dia (90+2'), Boulaye Dia (90+4').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.85 units (Brier 0.118).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 1.69 1.73 64% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.55 2.61 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.13 2.20 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.65 1.63 56% Cashed +0.65 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.26 2.10 36% Cashed +1.26 Cashed
Home Win 1.40 1.42 70% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Under 1.5 5.30 5.49 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.11 1.11 90% Cashed +0.11 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.45 1.44 57% Cashed +0.45 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.81 2.75 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.14 1.14 70% Cashed +0.14 Cashed
Under 0.5 19.50 16.95 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.02 1.02 94% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Draw 4.88 4.67 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.12 1.11 79% Cashed +0.12 Cashed
Away Win 6.69 6.76 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 5.10 5.29 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −5.85u −34% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 0.5
REN – AUX @ 19.50
+10.5%
Edge
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