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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Rennes — Auxerre

Prediction: Rennes vs Auxerre, October 11

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Rennes
Rennes
Home · last 5 D W W W L
Kick-off
Sun 11 Oct · 15:15
1:1
Live · 45'
Auxerre
Auxerre
L L L W W Away · last 5
Roazhon Park · Rennes Referee Willy Delajod

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · REN
70%
Best 1.47
Draw
19%
Best 5.19
Away Win · AUX
10%
Best 7.03

Model verdict

Model leans toward Rennes to win — 70% probability.

Also rated highly: Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 56%.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 70% Rennes win
Over/Under 2.5 57% Over 2.5
BTTS 56% Yes
Double Chance 90% 1X
  • 1X2 Rennes win 70%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 57%
  • BTTS Yes 56%
  • Double Chance 1X 90%
Open betting analysis

Odds movement · 1X2

72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win Draw Away Win
See full odds

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Rennes
W/D/L 3-1-1
Goals (for / against) 6 / 7
Avg goals / match 2.6
Scored in 3/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-0-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-1-1
xG (for / against) 2.24 / 1.88
Auxerre
W/D/L 2-0-3
Goals (for / against) 7 / 12
Avg goals / match 3.8
Scored in 5/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 4/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-0-1
Away (W-D-L) 0-0-2
xG (for / against) 1.54 / 3.05

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
1.60
Goals Scored
1.40
1.80
Goals Conceded
2.40
0.75
Expected Goals (xG)
0.62
5.40
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
6
51
Possession (%)
45.60
101.33
Efficiency index
98.36
109.34
Adjusted index
96.04
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
44
OFF · home
28
28
DEF · home
89
28
OFF · away
50
17
DEF · away
6
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

Scenario insights

①
Rennes wins when scoring first
67%
①
Auxerre wins when scoring first
75%
⚽
Rennes BTTS rate · last 10
70%
⚽
Auxerre BTTS rate · last 10
80%
↑
Rennes Over 2.5 · last 10
80%
↑
Auxerre Over 2.5 · last 10
80%
↩
Rennes comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
Auxerre comeback rate · last 10
33%

Goal timing

Rennes · last 10 at home

0–15 19%
16–30 19%
31–45 13%
46–60 13%
61–75 19%
76–90 19%

Auxerre · last 10 away

0–15 23%
16–30 8%
31–45 31%
46–60 0%
61–75 15%
76–90 23%
Balanced — goals spread evenly across the match.

Top scorers

E. Lepaul
REN · Attacker
3 G · 0.72 g/90
S. Szymański
REN · Midfielder
1 G · 0.40 g/90
C. Archer
AUX · Attacker
3 G · 1.06 g/90
L. Sy
AUX · Defender
1 G · 0.50 g/90