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Home › Spain › La Liga › Barcelona — Getafe

Barcelona vs Getafe 3:0: Match Review & Stats

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Barcelona
Barcelona
Home · last 5 W W W W W
Kick-off
Sat 10 Oct · 16:30
3:0
Full-time
Getafe
Getafe
D D L W L Away · last 5
Spotify Camp Nou · Barcelona Referee Jesus Gil Manzano
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 51% · book 2.10 ✓
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 63% · book 1.62 ✓
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 50% · book 1.79 ✗
Total goals
3
3 · 0
xG (open play)
1.94 – 0.14
Δ +1.80
Possession
83% – 17%
AI accuracy
6 / 14
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 9.50 — +14.7% better than the market.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2 @ 9.50 ✗ Lost
AI 12% Implied 11% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

BAR 4-3-3 · GET 5-4-1
Subs used · BAR
61' López ↑ · Gavira ↓
61' Pedri ↑ · Carvajal ↓
71' Bernal ↑ · Cascante ↓
71' Adeyemi ↑ · Gordon ↓
82' Abdelkarim ↑ · Jesus ↓
Subs used · GET
37' Abqar ↑ · Romero ↓
65' Satriano ↑ · Azón ↓
65' Mancha ↑ · Mojica ↓
65' Graf ↑ · García ↓
85' Sazonov ↑ · Femenia ↓

Statistics

BAR 3 – 0 GET
83%
Possession (%)
17%
1.94
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.14
22
Total Shots
4
8
Shots on Target
1
6
Shots off Target
2
15
Shots Inside Box
1
8
Corner Kicks
3
1
Offsides
3
9
Fouls
11
2
Yellow Cards
4
1
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match events

19 · 3 – 0
Anthony Gordon
1–0
⚽
2'
Gabriel Jesus
2–0
⚽
30'
34'
▮
Kiko Femenia
Yellow Card
37'
⇄
Abdel Abqar ↓ · Zaid Romero ↑
Substitution 1
Half-time · 2 – 0
Daniel Olmo Carvajal
Yellow Card
▮
46'
45+2'
▮
Johan Mojica
Yellow Card
Fermín López ↓ · Pablo Martín Páez Gavira ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
61'
Pedri ↓ · Daniel Olmo Carvajal ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
61'
65'
⇄
Martin Satriano ↓ · Iván Azón ↑
Substitution 2
65'
⇄
David Cordón Mancha ↓ · Johan Mojica ↑
Substitution 3
65'
⇄
Juan Sebastian Boselli Graf ↓ · Andrés García ↑
Substitution 4
71'
▮
Juan Sebastian Boselli Graf
Yellow Card
Marc Bernal ↓ · Rodrigo Hernandez Cascante ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
71'
Karim Adeyemi ↓ · Anthony Gordon ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
71'
Jules Koundé
Assist · Lamine Yamal · 3–0
⚽
73'
75'
▮
Ramón Terrats
Yellow Card
Hamza Abdelkarim ↓ · Gabriel Jesus ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
82'
85'
⇄
Saba Sazonov ↓ · Kiko Femenia ↑
Substitution 5
Fermín López
Yellow Card
▮
90+1'
Full-time · 3 – 0

Match recap

Barcelona beat Getafe 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 83% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.94 to 0.14. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 22 shots to 4, 8 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 8 to 3. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Anthony Gordon (2'), Gabriel Jesus (30'), Jules Koundé (73').

Model audit for this match: of 14 graded markets, 6 landed and 8 missed, for a net -5.87 units (Brier 0.072).

Bet recap · markets settled

14 · 6 W · 8 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 2.10 2.10 51% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
BTTS No 1.62 1.63 63% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
Over 3.5 1.79 1.75 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.21 2.19 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 16.00 10.99 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 3.50 3.62 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 10.25 8.00 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 9.50 7.75 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.02 1.01 97% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Home Win 1.07 1.10 88% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.04 1.07 89% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.28 1.28 70% Cashed +0.28 Cashed
AH Away 0 29.00 23.26 3% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 27.50 23.26 3% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 14 markets @ 1u each — — — 6 W · 8 L −5.87u −42% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
BAR – GET @ 9.50
+14.7%
Edge
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