Model verdict
Model leans toward Under 2.5 goals — 56% probability.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 41% | Rayo Vallecano win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 56% | Under 2.5 |
| BTTS | 51% | Yes |
| Double Chance | 67% | 1X |
- 1X2 Rayo Vallecano win 41%
- Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 56%
- BTTS Yes 51%
- Double Chance 1X 67%
Odds movement · 1X2
72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Rayo Vallecano
W/D/L
2-1-2
Goals (for / against)
9 / 13
Avg goals / match
4.4
Scored in
5/5
Clean sheets
0/5
Both teams scored
5/5
Over 2.5
4/5
Home (W-D-L)
2-0-0
Away (W-D-L)
0-1-2
xG (for / against)
1.08 / 2.83
Athletic Club
W/D/L
2-2-1
Goals (for / against)
6 / 3
Avg goals / match
1.8
Scored in
3/5
Clean sheets
3/5
Both teams scored
1/5
Over 2.5
1/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-2-0
Away (W-D-L)
1-0-1
xG (for / against)
1.43 / 2.23
Head-to-Head Performance
last 10 H2H · per matchEff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.
Team strength
0–100 rating vs league · season-to-dateEach axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.
Scenario insights
①
Rayo Vallecano wins when scoring first
33%
①
Athletic Club wins when scoring first
67%
⚽
Rayo Vallecano BTTS rate · last 10
90%
⚽
Athletic Club BTTS rate · last 10
40%
↑
Rayo Vallecano Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
↑
Athletic Club Over 2.5 · last 10
30%
↩
Rayo Vallecano comeback rate · last 10
25%
↩
Athletic Club comeback rate · last 10
0%
Goal timing
Rayo Vallecano · last 10 at home
0–15
6%
16–30
22%
31–45
11%
46–60
22%
61–75
11%
76–90
28%
Athletic Club · last 10 away
0–15
0%
16–30
23%
31–45
8%
46–60
23%
61–75
15%
76–90
31%
Second-half-heavy — most goals come after the break.
Top scorers
Community forecasts
What other tipsters predicted · 1 in the sample
SI
15 hours ago
La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
—
kickoff
Athletic Club
Goals Over/Under
Over 1.5
@ 1.26
Stake
90
coins
→
Payout
113
pending
P/L
+23
potential vs stake
⋯
Pending