Brighton vs Arsenal 0:1 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 3.5 at 3.40 — +9.7% better than the market.

Brighton hosts Arsenal in a clash where quality heavily favors the visitors. Arsenal's superior overall strength and offensive edge suggest they can break down Brighton's compact defense. Despite Brighton's better recent points per game, Arsenal's momentum and sharper attack create a pressing edge. Expect a lively pace with chances at both ends, given balanced over/under odds.

Arsenal's attacking threat vs Brighton's defense
Brighton's home resilience but limited firepower
Recent form favors Arsenal's consistency

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Over 3.5

Over 3.5 @ 3.40 ✗ Lost

AI 32% Implied 29% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

BRI 4-2-3-1 · ARS 4-2-3-1

BRI · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · ARS

10 Rutter

Subs used · BRI

46'

Minteh ↑ ·

Mitoma ↓

69'

Welbeck ↑ ·

Hinshelwood ↓

77'

Veltman ↑ ·

Wieffer ↓

77'

Howell ↑ ·

Gomez ↓

78'

Ayari ↑ ·

Baleba ↓

Subs used · ARS

59'

Havertz ↑ ·

Gyökeres ↓

60'

Trossard ↑ ·

Martinelli ↓

64'

Calafiori ↑ ·

Mosquera ↓

80'

Norgaard ↑ ·

Zubimendi ↓

Statistics

BRI 0 – 1 ARS

60%

Possession (%)

40%

0.80

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.43

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

82%

Pass Accuracy (%)

71%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

15 · 0 – 1

⚽

B. Saka

Assist · J. Timber · 0–1

11'

▮

Cristhian Mosquera

Yellow Card

Half-time · 0 – 1

Y. Minteh ↓ · K. Mitoma ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

Diego Gómez

Yellow Card

▮

52'

59'

⇄

K. Havertz ↓ · V. Gyökeres ↑

Substitution 1

60'

⇄

L. Trossard ↓ · G. Martinelli ↑

Substitution 2

64'

⇄

R. Calafiori ↓ · C. Mosquera ↑

Substitution 3

D. Welbeck ↓ · J. Hinshelwood ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

69'

J. Veltman ↓ · M. Wieffer ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

77'

H. Howell ↓ · D. Gomez ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

77'

Y. Ayari ↓ · C. Baleba ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

78'

Olivier Boscagli

Yellow Card

▮

80'

⇄

C. Norgaard ↓ · M. Zubimendi ↑

Substitution 4

Ferdi Kadıoğlu

Yellow Card

▮

81'

Yasin Ayari

Yellow Card

▮

90+4'

Full-time · 0 – 1

Match recap

Arsenal won 1–0 away at Brighton. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 60% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 82% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 11 shots to 7, 3 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: B. Saka (9').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.71 units (Brier 0.179).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	1.68	—	65%	Cashed	+0.68	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.97	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.99	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.93	—	47%	Cashed	+0.93	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.97	—	46%	Cashed	+0.97	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	2.36	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.40	—	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.20	—	87%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.29	—	65%	Cashed	+0.29	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.30	—	77%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.06	—	93%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Draw	4.40	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.35	—	68%	Cashed	+0.35	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.81	—	23%	Cashed	+2.81	Cashed
Under 0.5	12.20	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	5.50	—	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	4.00	—	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.71u	−16% ROI

Brighton vs Arsenal 0:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled