P
Prognosist
P
Home England Premier League Brighton — Arsenal

Predictions Brighton vs Arsenal March 4, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Brighton
Brighton
Home · last 5 W L W L L
Kick-off
Wed 04 Mar · 19:30
0:1
Full-time
Arsenal
Arsenal
W W W W W Away · last 5
American Express Stadium · Falmer, East Sussex Referee Chris Kavanagh, England
Home Win · BRI
13%
Best 5.08
Draw
22%
Best 3.91
Away Win · ARS
65%
Best 1.67
Value pick
Away Win
@ 1.68
Fair odds
1.54
book 1.68 · +8.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 65% · EV +8.9%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Top pick
Probability 64.8%
Odds 1.68
Show model details
Implied probability 59.5%
Bet quality High
Draw
Probability 21.8%
Odds 4.40
Show model details
Implied probability 22.7%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 13.4%
Odds 5.50
Show model details
Implied probability 18.2%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 54.3%
Odds 1.97
Show model details
Implied probability 50.8%
Bet quality Medium
Under 2.5
Probability 45.7%
Odds 1.97
Show model details
Implied probability 50.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 32.3%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Medium
Over 1.5
Probability 77.5%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.5%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 67.7%
Odds 1.35
Show model details
Implied probability 74.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 22.5%
Odds 3.81
Show model details
Implied probability 26.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 6.5%
Odds 12.20
Show model details
Implied probability 8.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Top pick
Probability 53.4%
Odds 1.99
Show model details
Implied probability 50.3%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS No
Probability 46.6%
Odds 1.93
Show model details
Implied probability 51.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 64.8%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Medium
AH Home 0
Probability 13.4%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 35.2%
Odds 2.36
Show model details
Implied probability 42.4%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 86.6%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.