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Prognosist
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⚽ Football 57 + Value 23 📈 Forecasts
Football World UEFA Europa League Lille — Aston Villa
World   /   UEFA Europa League Value pick inside
Lille
Lille
Home · last 5 W L W L L
Kick-off
Thu 12 Mar · 17:45
0:1
Full-time
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
W W L W W Away · last 5
Referee José María Sánchez Martínez, Spain
Miss
AH Home 0
AH Home 0
AI 53% · book 2.20
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 38% · book 3.10
Miss
AH Home +1
AH Home +1
AI 90% · book 1.30
Total goals
1
0 · 1
xG (open play)
0.40 – 0.47
Δ −0.07
Possession
49% – 51%
AI accuracy
8 / 16
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks AH Home 0 at 2.20 — +10.0% better than the market.

Lille vs Aston Villa looks like a tight European tie, but the home side gets a slight lean from stronger recent rhythm, a steadier home environment and a more reliable attacking flow in league play. Aston Villa still carry real threat on transitions and have enough quality to stay in the game, so this does not project as a one-sided match. The most likely scenario is a competitive contest with Lille avoiding defeat more often than not, while the goal pattern points toward a live chance of two or three total goals rather than a completely open shootout.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · AH Home 0
AH Home 0 @ 2.20 ✗ Lost
AI 53% Implied 46% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

LIL 01 AST
49%
Possession (%)
51%
0.40
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.47
7
Total Shots
9
3
Shots on Target
1
2
Shots off Target
5
3
Shots Inside Box
7
3
Corner Kicks
2
6
Offsides
1
10
Fouls
12
87%
Pass Accuracy (%)
85%
0
Yellow Cards
2
0
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Bet recap · markets settled

16 · 8 W · 8 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
AH Home 0 2.20 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.10 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home +1 1.30 90% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.40 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.60 67% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.10 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home +2 1.10 97% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
BTTS No 2.10 48% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.10 91% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.40 72% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.30 74% Cashed +0.30 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.90 51% Cashed +0.90 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.80 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.40 62% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.80 48% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
Away Win 2.50 33% Cashed +1.50 Cashed
Total · 16 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 8 L −2.80u −18% ROI
Best bet of the night · AH Home 0
LIL – AST @ 2.20
+10.0%
Edge
Forecast →