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Home World UEFA Europa League Lille — Aston Villa

Predictions Lille vs Aston Villa March 12, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Europe   /   UEFA Europa League Value pick inside
Lille
Lille
Home · last 5 W L W L L
Kick-off
Thu 12 Mar · 17:45
0:1
Full-time
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
W W L W W Away · last 5
Referee José María Sánchez Martínez, Spain
VALUE
Home Win · LIL
38%
Best 3.28
Draw
29%
Best 3.23
Away Win · AST
33%
Best 2.29
Value pick
AH Home 0
@ 2.20
Fair odds
1.90
book 2.20 · +10.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 53% · EV +10.0%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Value pick
Probability 38%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.6%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 29%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Medium
Away Win
Probability 33%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 39.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 5 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 49%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Medium
Over 0.5 Top pick
Probability 91%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality High
Over 1.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 74.1%
Bet quality High
Under 3.5
Probability 73.5%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.3%
Bet quality High
Under 2.5
Probability 51%
Odds 1.90
Show model details
Implied probability 53.8%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 48%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.8%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes Top pick
Probability 52%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.9%
Bet quality Medium
Asian Handicap 4 markets
AH Home 0 Value pick
Probability 52.5%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 46.1%
Bet quality Medium
AH Home +1 Value pick
Probability 89.5%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality High
AH Home +2 Top pick
Probability 97%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality High
AH Away 0
Probability 47.5%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Medium
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 67%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 63.3%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 62%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 69.9%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · AH Home 0
LIL – AST @ 2.20
+10.0%
Edge
Forecast →