Match Everton vs Arsenal December 20, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Arsenal enter this clash with a clear quality edge and a pressing advantage, despite Everton's stronger recent form at home. Everton's defense looks vulnerable against Arsenal's potent attack, which has shown consistent threat even away. The match hints at a moderately open pace, with chances for both sides but Arsenal likely to control key moments.

Arsenal's superior overall strength and offensive edge
Everton's home momentum but defensive frailties
Balanced goal environment with moderate tempo suggested by odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

EVE 4-2-3-1 · ARS 4-3-3

EVE · 4-2-3-1 4-3-3 · ARS

11 Barry

Subs used · EVE

66'

Beto ↑ ·

Barry ↓

75'

Dibling ↑ ·

McNeil ↓

76'

Rohl ↑ ·

Alcaraz ↓

Subs used · ARS

65'

Jesus ↑ ·

Gyökeres ↓

80'

Martinelli ↑ ·

Trossard ↓

88'

Merino ↑ ·

Odegaard ↓

📊 Statistics

EVE 0 – 1 ARS

35%

Possession (%)

65%

0.20

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.81

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

73%

Pass Accuracy (%)

87%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

11 · 0 – 1

Vitaliy Mykolenko

Yellow Card

▮

26'

27'

⚽

V. Gyokeres (P)

Penalty · 0–1

James Tarkowski

Yellow Card

▮

39'

Half-time · 0 – 1

56'

▮

Viktor Gyökeres

Yellow Card

65'

⇄

Gabriel Jesus ↓ · V. Gyökeres ↑

Substitution 1

Beto ↓ · T. Barry ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

66'

T. Dibling ↓ · D. McNeil ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

75'

M. Rohl ↓ · C. Alcaraz ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

76'

80'

⇄

G. Martinelli ↓ · L. Trossard ↑

Substitution 2

88'

⇄

M. Merino ↓ · M. Odegaard ↑

Substitution 3

89'

▮

Gabriel Martinelli

Yellow Card

Full-time · 0 – 1

Match recap

Arsenal won 1–0 away at Everton. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 65% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 87% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.81 to 0.20. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 13 shots to 5, 2 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: V. Gyokeres (27').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.57 units (Brier 0.161).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	1.64	—	66%	Cashed	+0.64	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.15	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.13	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.81	—	50%	Cashed	+0.81	Cashed
BTTS No	1.77	—	50%	Cashed	+0.77	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	2.50	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	4.00	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.16	—	88%	Cashed	+0.16	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.22	—	66%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.37	—	75%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.08	—	92%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
Draw	4.10	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.29	—	72%	Cashed	+0.29	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.46	—	25%	Cashed	+2.46	Cashed
Under 0.5	10.00	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	6.35	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	4.69	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.57u	−21% ROI