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Home › England › Premier League › Everton — Arsenal

Predictions by Market: Everton vs Arsenal

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Everton
Everton
Home · last 5 L D D L L
Kick-off
Sat 20 Dec · 20:00
0:1
Full-time
Arsenal
Arsenal
W W W W W Away · last 5
Hill Dickinson Stadium · Liverpool Referee Samuel Barrott, England

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · EVE
12%
Best 6.10
Draw
23%
Best 3.96
Away Win · ARS
66%
Best 1.58
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 4.00
Fair odds
3.52
book 4.00 · +13.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 28% · EV +13.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (72%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 65.6%
Odds 1.64
Show model details
Implied probability 61%
Bet quality High
✓ Draw
Probability 22.9%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 11.5%
Odds 6.35
Show model details
Implied probability 15.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 50.3%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 49.7%
Odds 1.81
Show model details
Implied probability 55.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 28.4%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 74.8%
Odds 1.37
Show model details
Implied probability 73%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.1%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 71.6%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 25.2%
Odds 3.46
Show model details
Implied probability 28.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 7.9%
Odds 10.00
Show model details
Implied probability 10%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 49.7%
Odds 2.13
Show model details
Implied probability 47%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 50.3%
Odds 1.77
Show model details
Implied probability 56.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 65.6%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 11.5%
Odds 4.69
Show model details
Implied probability 21.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 34.4%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 88.5%
Odds 1.16
Show model details
Implied probability 86.2%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
EVE – ARS @ 4.00
+13.6%
Edge
Forecast →