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Home › England › Premier League › Hull City — Everton

Prediction: Hull City vs Everton, October 11

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Hull City
Hull City
Home · last 5 W W D D L
Kick-off
Sun 11 Oct · 13:00
—:—
Pre-match · scheduled
Everton
Everton
W D D D W Away · last 5
MKM Stadium · Hull Referee Michael Salisbury

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · HUL
21%
Best 3.70
Draw
26%
Best 3.52
Away Win · EVE
53%
Best 2.18

Model verdict

Model leans toward Under 2.5 goals — 65% probability.

Also rated highly: both teams not to score 58%.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 53% Everton win
Over/Under 2.5 65% Under 2.5
BTTS 58% No
Double Chance 79% X2
  • 1X2 Everton win 53%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 65%
  • BTTS No 58%
  • Double Chance X2 79%
Open betting analysis

Odds movement · 1X2

72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win Draw Away Win
See full odds

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Hull City
W/D/L 2-2-1
Goals (for / against) 6 / 4
Avg goals / match 2.0
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 3/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 2/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-1-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-1-1
xG (for / against) 0.99 / 1.55
Everton
W/D/L 2-3-0
Goals (for / against) 6 / 3
Avg goals / match 1.8
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 3/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 1/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-1-0
Away (W-D-L) 0-2-0
xG (for / against) 1.44 / 2.09

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
1.20
Goals Scored
1.20
0.80
Goals Conceded
0.60
0.40
Expected Goals (xG)
0.58
3.80
Shots on Target
4.60
3.40
Corners
5
32.20
Possession (%)
43.80
105.60
Efficiency index
95.98
89.46
Adjusted index
94.87
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
5
OFF · home
50
75
DEF · home
50
50
OFF · away
15
35
DEF · away
75
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

Scenario insights

①
Hull City wins when scoring first
100%
①
Everton wins when scoring first
50%
⚽
Hull City BTTS rate · last 5
40%
⚽
Everton BTTS rate · last 10
60%
↑
Hull City Over 2.5 · last 5
40%
↑
Everton Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
↩
Hull City comeback rate · last 5
0%
↩
Everton comeback rate · last 10
0%

Goal timing

Hull City · last 2 at home

0–15 0%
16–30 50%
31–45 50%
46–60 0%
61–75 0%
76–90 0%

Everton · last 10 away

0–15 9%
16–30 18%
31–45 9%
46–60 9%
61–75 9%
76–90 45%
First-half-heavy — over half the goals before the break.

Top scorers

M. Belloumi
HUL · Attacker
2 G · 0.45 g/90
S. Ajayi
HUL · Defender
1 G · 0.56 g/90
T. Barry
EVE · Attacker
2 G · 0.43 g/90
K. Dewsbury-Hall
EVE · Midfielder
1 G · 0.50 g/90