Match Valencia vs Celta Vigo August 22, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 3.40 — +1.2% better than the market.

With limited recent form and strength data, this La Liga opener at Estadio de Mestalla leans towards a cautious encounter. The odds suggest a moderate tempo with a slight edge to under 2.5 goals, hinting at a compact midfield battle. Valencia's home familiarity could provide a pressing edge, while Celta Vigo may look to exploit set-piece opportunities. Expect tactical discipline and a measured pace as both sides seek to avoid early setbacks.

Home ground advantage favors Valencia's pressing style
Likely tight midfield control limiting goal chances
Set-piece threat could be decisive

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Away Win

Away Win @ 3.40 ✗ Lost

AI 30% Implied 29% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

VAL 5-4-1 · CEL 3-4-3

VAL · 5-4-1 3-4-3 · CEL

7 Danjuma

Subs used · VAL

46'

Diakhaby ↑ ·

De Haas ↓

57'

Sadiq ↑ ·

Sato ↓

69'

Maffeo ↑ ·

Gaya ↓

69'

Dieng ↑ ·

Ugrinic ↓

83'

Duro ↑ ·

Danjuma ↓

Subs used · CEL

57'

Swedberg ↑ ·

Alvarez ↓

64'

Duran ↑ ·

Jutgla ↓

64'

Rueda ↑ ·

El Abdellaoui ↓

64'

Aspas ↑ ·

Galan ↓

77'

Moriba ↑ ·

Febas ↓

📊 Statistics

VAL 0 – 0 CEL

44%

Possession (%)

56%

0.58

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.66

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

88%

Pass Accuracy (%)

89%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

15 · 0 – 0

J. De Haas

Yellow Card

▮

38'

S. Dimitrievski

Yellow Card

▮

39'

Half-time · 0 – 0

M. Diakhaby ↓ · J. De Haas ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

57'

▮

S. Carreira

Yellow Card

57'

⇄

W. Swedberg ↓ · H. Alvarez ↑

Substitution 1

U. Sadiq ↓ · R. Sato ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

57'

64'

⇄

P. Duran ↓ · F. Jutgla ↑

Substitution 2

64'

⇄

J. Rueda ↓ · J. El Abdellaoui ↑

Substitution 3

64'

⇄

I. Aspas ↓ · J. Galan ↑

Substitution 4

67'

▮

J. Rueda

Yellow Card

P. Maffeo ↓ · J. Gaya ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

69'

A. Dieng ↓ · F. Ugrinic ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

69'

77'

⇄

I. Moriba ↓ · A. Febas ↑

Substitution 5

80'

▮

I. Radu

Yellow Card

H. Duro ↓ · A. Danjuma ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

83'

Full-time · 0 – 0

Match recap

Valencia and Celta Vigo drew 0–0. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 56% of the ball. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +4.76 units (Brier 0.279).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	1.55	1.55	61%	Cashed	+0.55	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.67	1.67	57%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.20	2.20	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.84	1.85	51%	Cashed	+0.84	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.90	1.89	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.48	2.50	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.19	2.13	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	2.92	2.88	32%	Cashed	+1.92	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.69	1.80	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.40	3.00	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.38	1.40	68%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.23	1.22	76%	Cashed	+0.23	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.92	4.20	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	1.06	88%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	8.00	8.00	12%	Cashed	+7.00	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.30	1.36	70%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
Draw	3.25	3.10	27%	Cashed	+2.25	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+4.76u	+28% ROI