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Home › Spain › La Liga › Valencia — Celta Vigo

Predictions by Market: Valencia vs Celta Vigo

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Valencia
Valencia
Home · last 5 L L L W L
Kick-off
Sat 22 Aug · 17:30
0:0
Full-time
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
L D D D W Away · last 5
Estadio de Mestalla · Valdivia Referee J. Manzano

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · VAL
39%
Best 2.59
Draw
27%
Best 3.25
Away Win · CEL
30%
Best 3.10
Value pick
Away Win
@ 3.40
Fair odds
3.36
book 3.40 · +1.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 30% · EV +1.2%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (39%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 39.1%
Odds 2.48
Show model details
Implied probability 40.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 29.8%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 27.2%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 56.9%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 32.1%
Odds 2.92
Show model details
Implied probability 34.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 67.9%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 76.1%
Odds 1.23
Show model details
Implied probability 81.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 23.9%
Odds 3.92
Show model details
Implied probability 25.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 88.4%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 11.6%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 50.8%
Odds 1.84
Show model details
Implied probability 54.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 49.2%
Odds 1.90
Show model details
Implied probability 52.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 32.9%
Odds 2.19
Show model details
Implied probability 45.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 40.4%
Odds 1.69
Show model details
Implied probability 59.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 60.9%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Best in group
Probability 70.2%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
VAL – CEL @ 3.40
+1.2%
Edge
Forecast →