Aston Villa vs Arsenal 0:1 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.91 — +13.3% better than the market.

Arsenal arrive at Villa Park with clear momentum, boasting a recent win while Aston Villa are struggling for form. The visitors' pressing edge and sharper attack could exploit Villa's defensive vulnerabilities. Expect a tactical battle where Arsenal's compact block and efficient transitions might control the pace.

Arsenal's recent form suggests confidence on the road.
Villa's home advantage is tempered by current struggles.
Moderate pace expected, favoring organized defensive setups.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 1.91 ✓ Cashed

AI 59% Implied 52% +0.91u

+91%

ROI on stake

Lineups

AST 4-2-3-1 · ARS 4-2-3-1

AST · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · ARS

11 Jackson

Subs used · AST

71'

Abraham ↑ ·

Jackson ↓

71'

Alysson ↑ ·

Hemmings ↓

78'

Wan-Bissaka ↑ ·

Cash ↓

78'

Garnacho ↑ ·

Barkley ↓

Subs used · ARS

46'

Eze ↑ ·

Tzolis ↓

71'

Merino ↑ ·

Odegaard ↓

71'

Guimaraes ↑ ·

Lewis-Skelly ↓

79'

Konsa ↑ ·

Mosquera ↓

85'

Zubimendi ↑ ·

Rice ↓

Statistics

AST 0 – 1 ARS

39%

Possession (%)

61%

0.31

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.05

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

81%

Pass Accuracy (%)

88%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

14 · 0 – 1

29'

▮

C. Tzolis

Yellow Card

Half-time · 0 – 0

46'

⇄

E. Eze ↓ · C. Tzolis ↑

Substitution 1

59'

⚽

B. Saka

Assist · R. Calafiori · 0–1

71'

⇄

M. Merino ↓ · M. Odegaard ↑

Substitution 2

71'

⇄

Bruno Guimaraes ↓ · M. Lewis-Skelly ↑

Substitution 3

T. Abraham ↓ · N. Jackson ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

71'

Alysson ↓ · G. Hemmings ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

71'

A. Wan-Bissaka ↓ · M. Cash ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

78'

A. Garnacho ↓ · R. Barkley ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

78'

79'

⇄

E. Konsa ↓ · C. Mosquera ↑

Substitution 4

Alysson

Yellow Card

▮

80'

J. McGinn

Yellow Card

▮

81'

85'

⇄

M. Zubimendi ↓ · D. Rice ↑

Substitution 5

I. Maatsen

Yellow Card

▮

90+6'

Full-time · 0 – 1

Match recap

Arsenal won 1–0 away at Aston Villa. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 61% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.05 to 0.31. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: B. Saka (59').

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -2.03 units (Brier 0.202).

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	1.91	1.90	59%	Cashed	+0.91	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	2.50	2.54	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.80	1.80	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.00	2.05	47%	Cashed	+1.00	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.87	1.86	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	6.50	6.21	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.94	2.80	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.12	1.11	79%	Cashed	+0.12	Cashed
Away Win	1.52	1.53	56%	Cashed	+0.52	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.24	1.21	76%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	4.55	4.93	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	4.05	4.37	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.38	1.39	68%	Cashed	+0.38	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.87	4.00	24%	Cashed	+2.87	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.17	1.16	56%	Cashed	+0.17	Cashed
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	7 W · 8 L	−2.03u	−14% ROI

Aston Villa vs Arsenal 0:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled