🧠 Model verdict
Model leans toward both teams not to score — 59% probability.
Also rated highly: Arsenal to win 56%.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
Arsenal arrive at Villa Park with clear momentum, boasting a recent win while Aston Villa are struggling for form. The visitors' pressing edge and sharper attack could exploit Villa's defensive vulnerabilities. Expect a tactical battle where Arsenal's compact block and efficient transitions might control the pace.
- Arsenal's recent form suggests confidence on the road.
- Villa's home advantage is tempered by current struggles.
- Moderate pace expected, favoring organized defensive setups.
✓ Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 56% | Arsenal win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 53% | Over 2.5 |
| BTTS | 59% | No |
| Double Chance | 79% | X2 |
- 1X2 Arsenal win 56%
- Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 53%
- BTTS No 59%
- Double Chance X2 79%
📈 Odds movement · 1X2
72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
≡ Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Aston Villa
W/D/L
3-1-1
Goals (for / against)
11 / 9
Avg goals / match
4.0
Scored in
4/5
Clean sheets
1/5
Both teams scored
3/5
Over 2.5
5/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Away (W-D-L)
2-1-1
xG (for / against)
1.46 / 1.69
Arsenal
W/D/L
4-1-0
Goals (for / against)
8 / 2
Avg goals / match
2.0
Scored in
5/5
Clean sheets
3/5
Both teams scored
2/5
Over 2.5
2/5
Home (W-D-L)
2-0-0
Away (W-D-L)
2-1-0
xG (for / against)
1.41 / 0.93
⚔ Head-to-Head Performance
last 10 H2H · per matchEff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.
📡 Team strength
0–100 rating vs league · season-to-dateEach axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.
🎯 Scenario insights
①
Aston Villa wins when scoring first
100%
①
Arsenal wins when scoring first
100%
⚽
Aston Villa BTTS rate · last 10
50%
⚽
Arsenal BTTS rate · last 10
40%
↑
Aston Villa Over 2.5 · last 10
80%
↑
Arsenal Over 2.5 · last 10
40%
↩
Aston Villa comeback rate · last 10
25%
↩
Arsenal comeback rate · last 10
—
🔥 Goal timing
Aston Villa · last 10 at home
0–15
19%
16–30
0%
31–45
19%
46–60
19%
61–75
19%
76–90
25%
Arsenal · last 10 away
0–15
11%
16–30
16%
31–45
16%
46–60
21%
61–75
21%
76–90
16%
Second-half-heavy — most goals come after the break.
