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Home England Premier League Aston Villa — Arsenal

Predictions Aston Villa vs Arsenal August 31, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Home · last 5 L
Kick-off
Mon 31 Aug · 19:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Arsenal
Arsenal
W Away · last 5
Villa Park · Birmingham Referee J. Gillett
Home Win · AST
21%
Best 6.55
Draw
23%
Best 4.47
Away Win · ARS
56%
Best 1.56
Value pick
BTTS No
@ 1.91
Fair odds
1.68
book 1.91 · +13.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 59% · EV +13.3%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win
Probability 20.7%
Odds 6.50
Show model details
Implied probability 15.4%
Bet quality Medium
Away Win Best in group
Probability 56%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 66%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 23.2%
Odds 4.05
Show model details
Implied probability 24.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 53.1%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 46.9%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 31.7%
Odds 2.94
Show model details
Implied probability 34%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5 Best in group
Probability 76.5%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 81%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 68.4%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 23.5%
Odds 3.87
Show model details
Implied probability 25.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Value pick
Probability 59.5%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.5%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes
Probability 40.5%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0
Probability 20.7%
Odds 4.55
Show model details
Implied probability 22%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 56%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 44%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 79.3%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.7%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS No
AST – ARS @ 1.91
+13.3%
Edge
Forecast →