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Home › World › UEFA Champions League › Aston Villa — Fenerbahçe

Prediction: Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe, October 14

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Home · last 5 W
Kick-off
Wed 14 Oct · 19:00
—:—
Pre-match · scheduled
Fenerbahçe
Fenerbahçe
W W D W D Away · last 5

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · AST
55%
Best 1.80
Draw
25%
Best 3.92
Away Win · FEN
20%
Best 5.00
Probability based on bookmaker odds
AI preview · 90 sec read

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Aston Villa
W/D/L 2-1-2
Goals (for / against) 7 / 7
Avg goals / match 2.8
Scored in 3/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 0-0-2
Away (W-D-L) 2-1-0
xG (for / against) 0.31 / 1.05
Fenerbahçe
W/D/L 2-2-1
Goals (for / against) 12 / 3
Avg goals / match 3.0
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 3/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 2/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-1-1
Away (W-D-L) 1-1-0
xG (for / against) 3.31 / 0.63

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
0.80
Goals Scored
3
1.80
Goals Conceded
0.80
0.12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.50
2.40
Shots on Target
7.80
3
Corners
6.20
45.80
Possession (%)
43.40
120
Efficiency index
101.39
61.68
Adjusted index
156.58
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
—
OFF · home
35
—
DEF · home
85
92
OFF · away
68
60
DEF · away
92
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

Scenario insights

①
Aston Villa wins when scoring first
100%
①
Fenerbahçe wins when scoring first
—
⚽
Aston Villa BTTS rate · last 10
60%
⚽
Fenerbahçe BTTS rate · last 10
60%
↑
Aston Villa Over 2.5 · last 10
80%
↑
Fenerbahçe Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
↩
Aston Villa comeback rate · last 10
50%
↩
Fenerbahçe comeback rate · last 10
0%

Goal timing

Aston Villa · last 10 at home

0–15 21%
16–30 0%
31–45 14%
46–60 14%
61–75 21%
76–90 29%

Fenerbahçe · last 6 away

0–15 20%
16–30 20%
31–45 39%
46–60 0%
61–75 0%
76–90 20%
Balanced — goals spread evenly across the match.

Top scorers

Talisca
FEN · Attacker
4 G · 0.76 g/90
M. Greenwood
FEN · Attacker
2 G · 0.40 g/90