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Home World World Cup Norway — England

Preview Norway vs England July 11, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

World   /   World Cup Value pick inside
Norway
Norway
Home · last 5 W W L W W
Kick-off
Sat 11 Jul · 21:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
England
England
W D W W W Away · last 5
Home Win · NOR
29%
Best 4.28
Draw
25%
Best 3.85
Away Win · ENG
46%
Best 1.92

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward Over 2.5 goals — 65% probability.

Also rated highly: both teams to score 64%.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Norway and England both arrive unbeaten with perfect recent form, setting the stage for a high-stakes clash. Norway's potent attack, averaging over 4.5 goals per game in qualifiers, contrasts with England's rock-solid defense that has kept clean sheets in all matches. Expect a tactical battle where Norway's pressing edge and goal threat meet England's compact block and disciplined shape.

  • Norway's home momentum and prolific scoring
  • England's defensive resilience and counter-attack potential
  • Likely open game with chances for both sides

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 46% England win
Over/Under 2.5 65% Over 2.5
BTTS 64% Yes
Double Chance 71% X2
  • 1X2 England win 46%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 65%
  • BTTS Yes 64%
  • Double Chance X2 71%
Open betting analysis

📈 Odds movement · 1X2

72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win Draw Away Win
See full odds

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Norway
W/D/L 4-0-1
Goals (for / against) 12 / 9
Avg goals / match 4.2
Scored in 5/5
Clean sheets 0/5
Both teams scored 5/5
Over 2.5 5/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-0-1
Away (W-D-L) 3-0-0
xG (for / against) 1.84 / 1.55
England
W/D/L 4-1-0
Goals (for / against) 11 / 5
Avg goals / match 3.2
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-1-0
Away (W-D-L) 2-0-0
xG (for / against) 1.97 / 0.99

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
2.40
Goals Scored
2.20
1.80
Goals Conceded
1
1.84
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
5
Shots on Target
6.40
4.40
Corners
6.20
53
Possession (%)
58.20
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

🌍 Qualification form

Statistics based on recent World Cup qualification matches.
Norway High data confidence
W W W W W
Matches8
Goals for / against37 / 5
Goals for / match4.63
Goals against / match0.63
Clean sheets50.0%
Both teams to score50.0%
Over 1.5 goals87.5%
Over 2.5 goals87.5%
xG for / match3.83
xG against / match0.37
Avg corners5.0
Avg shots19.4
Avg shots on target7.8
Sources: UEFA World Cup Qualification
England High data confidence
W W W W W
Matches8
Goals for / against22 / 0
Goals for / match2.75
Goals against / match0.00
Clean sheets100.0%
Both teams to score0.0%
Over 1.5 goals87.5%
Over 2.5 goals37.5%
xG for / match2.93
xG against / match0.17
Avg corners7.5
Avg shots18.8
Avg shots on target7.9
Sources: UEFA World Cup Qualification

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
75
OFF · home
63
29
DEF · home
81
83
OFF · away
77
37
DEF · away
54
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

Norway wins when scoring first
100%
England wins when scoring first
100%
Norway BTTS rate · last 10
90%
England BTTS rate · last 10
30%
Norway Over 2.5 · last 10
80%
England Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
Norway comeback rate · last 10
0%
England comeback rate · last 10
100%

🔥 Goal timing

Norway · last 2 at home

0–15 0%
16–30 20%
31–45 20%
46–60 60%
61–75 0%
76–90 0%

England · last 2 away

0–15 0%
16–30 0%
31–45 40%
46–60 20%
61–75 40%
76–90 0%
Second-half-heavy — most goals come after the break.

Top scorers

E. Haaland
NOR · Attacker
7 G · 1.75 g/90
L. Østigård
NOR · Defender
1 G
H. Kane
ENG · Attacker
6 G · 1.22 g/90
J. Bellingham
ENG · Midfielder
4 G · 0.86 g/90