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Home World World Cup Mexico — England

Preview Mexico vs England July 6, 2026

World   /   World Cup
Mexico
Mexico
Home · last 5 W W W W
Kick-off
Mon 06 Jul · 00:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
England
England
W D W W Away · last 5
Home Win · MEX
35%
Best 3.16
Draw
28%
Best 3.32
Away Win · ENG
37%
Best 2.51

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward both teams to score — 53% probability.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

England arrives with strong momentum, boasting a flawless recent run and a rock-solid defense that kept clean sheets throughout qualification. Mexico’s lack of recent form data adds uncertainty, but playing at a neutral venue levels the field somewhat. England’s attacking sharpness and pressing edge could challenge Mexico’s defense, while the match pace hints at a moderately open game with chances for both sides.

  • England’s defensive resilience and attacking efficiency stand out.
  • Mexico’s unknown form adds unpredictability.
  • Neutral ground may reduce home advantage, favoring tactical discipline.

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 37% England win
Over/Under 2.5 51% Under 2.5
BTTS 53% Yes
Double Chance 65% X2
  • 1X2 England win 37%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 51%
  • BTTS Yes 53%
  • Double Chance X2 65%
Open betting analysis

📈 Odds movement · 1X2

72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win Draw Away Win
See full odds

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Mexico
W/D/L 5-0-0
Goals (for / against) 13 / 1
Avg goals / match 2.8
Scored in 5/5
Clean sheets 4/5
Both teams scored 1/5
Over 2.5 2/5
Home (W-D-L) 4-0-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-0-0
xG (for / against) 1.18 / 0.49
England
W/D/L 4-1-0
Goals (for / against) 11 / 3
Avg goals / match 2.8
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 3/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 3-1-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-0-0
xG (for / against) 2.11 / 0.69

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
2
Goals Scored
2
0
Goals Conceded
0.75
1.17
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
4
Shots on Target
6.75
1.75
Corners
7.25
48.50
Possession (%)
64.50
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

🌍 Qualification form

Statistics based on recent World Cup qualification matches.
Mexico No qualification data

Qualification statistics are not available for this team. This may happen for host nations or teams without imported qualification data.

England High data confidence
W W W W W
Matches8
Goals for / against22 / 0
Goals for / match2.75
Goals against / match0.00
Clean sheets100.0%
Both teams to score0.0%
Over 1.5 goals87.5%
Over 2.5 goals37.5%
xG for / match2.93
xG against / match0.17
Avg corners7.5
Avg shots18.8
Avg shots on target7.9
Sources: UEFA World Cup Qualification

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
33
OFF · home
63
77
DEF · home
75
81
OFF · away
75
94
DEF · away
92
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

Mexico wins when scoring first
100%
England wins when scoring first
100%
Mexico BTTS rate · last 10
20%
England BTTS rate · last 10
20%
Mexico Over 2.5 · last 10
30%
England Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
Mexico comeback rate · last 10
England comeback rate · last 10
100%

🔥 Goal timing

Mexico · last 3 at home

0–15 20%
16–30 20%
31–45 20%
46–60 20%
61–75 20%
76–90 0%

England · last 1 away

0–15 0%
16–30 0%
31–45 0%
46–60 0%
61–75 100%
76–90 0%
Late-game scoring — most goals come after the 60th.

Top scorers

J. Quiñones
MEX · Attacker
3 G · 0.81 g/90
R. Jiménez
MEX · Attacker
1 G
H. Kane
ENG · Attacker
5 G · 1.27 g/90