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Home › World › UEFA Nations League › England — Czechia

England vs Czechia 3:0: Match Review & Stats

World   /   UEFA Nations League Value pick inside
England
England
Home · last 5 L W W W
Kick-off
Tue 06 Oct · 18:45
3:0
Full-time
Czechia
Czechia
L L L L Away · last 5
Wembley Stadium · London Referee Serdar Gozubuyuk
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 66% · book 1.73 ✓
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 47% · book 2.55 ✗
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 34% · book 2.21 ✗
Total goals
3
3 · 0
Possession
64% – 36%
AI accuracy
4 / 9
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.73 — +14.3% better than the market.

England enters this UEFA Nations League clash with clear home momentum, having secured a recent win while Czechia struggles with back-to-back losses. England’s attacking threat and better form suggest they will control the tempo, especially given the modest goal expectations from the market hinting at a measured pace.

  • Home side’s recent positive results boost confidence
  • Czechia’s defensive resilience will be tested
  • Likely a tactical battle with England pressing for control

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No
BTTS No @ 1.73 ✓ Cashed
AI 66% Implied 58% +0.73u
+73%
ROI on stake

Statistics

ENG 3 – 0 CZE
64%
Possession (%)
36%
17
Total Shots
5
3
Shots on Target
0
8
Shots off Target
3
11
Shots Inside Box
0
6
Corner Kicks
3
10
Fouls
17
1
Yellow Cards
2
0
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match recap

England beat Czechia 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 64% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 5, 3 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 3. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 9 graded markets, 4 landed and 5 missed, for a net -3.49 units (Brier 0.102).

Bet recap · markets settled

9 · 4 W · 5 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 1.73 — 66% Cashed +0.73 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.55 — 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.21 — 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 16.50 — 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 4.50 — 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 7.00 — 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.03 — 86% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Home Win 1.24 — 70% Cashed +0.24 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.51 — 53% Cashed +0.51 Cashed
Total · 9 markets @ 1u each — — — 4 W · 5 L −3.49u −39% ROI
Value pick of the night · BTTS No
ENG – CZE @ 1.73
+14.3%
Edge
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