Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo 0:2 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Draw at 6.10 — +3.9% better than the market.

Real Madrid arrives with strong home momentum, boasting a solid recent run and a clear quality edge over Celta Vigo. Their potent attack faces a defense that has struggled, suggesting Real's pressing and creativity could dominate. The pace hints at an open game with goal opportunities, supported by favorable odds for over 2.5 goals.

Home side's attacking edge against a leaky defense
Superior form and home confidence
Likely high-tempo match with goal chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Draw

Draw @ 6.10 ✗ Lost

AI 17% Implied 16% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

REA 4-4-2 · CEL 3-4-2-1

REA · 4-4-2 3-4-2-1 · CEL

7 Júnior

Subs used · REA

24'

Rudiger ↑ ·

Militao ↓

54'

Rodrygo ↑ ·

Asencio ↓

74'

Garcia ↑ ·

Guler ↓

Subs used · CEL

46'

Swedberg ↑ ·

Duran ↓

71'

Rueda ↑ ·

Zaragoza ↓

71'

Jutgla ↑ ·

Mingueza ↓

84'

Beltran ↑ ·

Roman ↓

88'

Aspas ↑ ·

Iglesias ↓

Statistics

REA 0 – 2 CEL

58%

Possession (%)

42%

2.29

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.53

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

91%

Pass Accuracy (%)

86%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

20 · 0 – 2

Endrick

Red Card

▮

-5'

A. Rudiger ↓ · Eder Militao ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

24'

Half-time · 0 – 0

46'

⇄

W. Swedberg ↓ · P. Duran ↑

Substitution 1

53'

⚽

W. Swedberg

Assist · B. Zaragoza · 0–1

Rodrygo ↓ · R. Asencio ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

54'

Jude Bellingham

Yellow Card

▮

62'

Fran García

Yellow Card

▮

63'

Fran García

Yellow Card

▮

64'

Fran García

Red Card

▮

64'

71'

⇄

J. Rueda ↓ · B. Zaragoza ↑

Substitution 2

71'

⇄

F. Jutgla ↓ · O. Mingueza ↑

Substitution 3

G. Garcia ↓ · A. Guler ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

74'

83'

▮

Ilaix Moriba

Yellow Card

84'

⇄

F. Beltran ↓ · M. Roman ↑

Substitution 4

88'

⇄

I. Aspas ↓ · B. Iglesias ↑

Substitution 5

90'

⚽

W. Swedberg

Assist · I. Aspas · 0–2

Álvaro Carreras

Yellow Card

▮

90+1'

Rodrygo

Yellow Card

▮

90+2'

Federico Valverde

Yellow Card

▮

90+2'

Álvaro Carreras

Red Card

▮

90+2'

Full-time · 0 – 2

Match recap

Celta Vigo won 2–0 away at Real Madrid. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 58% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.29 to 1.53. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 23 shots to 7, 7 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 8 to 1. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: W. Swedberg (53'), W. Swedberg (90'). Endrick was sent off in the -5' minute. Fran García was sent off in the 64' minute. Álvaro Carreras was sent off in the 90+2' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +13.55 units (Brier 0.388).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes	1.70	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.00	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.94	—	50%	Cashed	+0.94	Cashed
BTTS No	2.30	—	41%	Cashed	+1.30	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.09	—	93%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.33	—	76%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	3.20	—	29%	Cashed	+2.20	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.11	—	76%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	6.10	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.02	—	97%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.38	—	71%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.12	—	87%	Cashed	+0.12	Cashed
Double Chance X2	3.77	—	24%	Cashed	+2.77	Cashed
Under 1.5	6.75	—	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	26.00	—	3%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	10.60	—	7%	Cashed	+9.60	Cashed
AH Away 0	6.60	—	7%	Cashed	+5.60	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+13.55u	+80% ROI

Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo 0:2: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled