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Home › Spain › La Liga › Real Madrid — Celta Vigo

Predictions by Market: Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Home · last 5 W L W W W
Kick-off
Sun 07 Dec · 20:00
0:2
Full-time
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
W W L D W Away · last 5
Santiago Bernabéu Stadium · Madrid Referee Alejandro Quintero Gonzalez, Spain

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · REA
76%
Best 1.26
Draw
17%
Best 6.35
Away Win · CEL
7%
Best 10.13
Value pick
Draw
@ 6.10
Fair odds
5.87
book 6.10 · +3.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 17% · EV +3.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (76%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 76%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 17%
Odds 6.10
Show model details
Implied probability 16.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 6.9%
Odds 10.60
Show model details
Implied probability 9.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 50%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 50.1%
Odds 1.94
Show model details
Implied probability 51.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 29.3%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 96.8%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 70.7%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 87%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 13%
Odds 6.75
Show model details
Implied probability 14.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 3.2%
Odds 26.00
Show model details
Implied probability 3.9%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 59.1%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 40.9%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 76%
Odds 1.11
Show model details
Implied probability 90.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 6.9%
Odds 6.60
Show model details
Implied probability 15.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 93.1%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 91.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 24%
Odds 3.77
Show model details
Implied probability 26.5%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
REA – CEL @ 6.10
+3.9%
Edge
Forecast →