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Home › World › UEFA Champions League › AS Roma — Real Madrid

Prediction: AS Roma vs Real Madrid, October 14

AS Roma
AS Roma
Home · last 5 D
Kick-off
Wed 14 Oct · 19:00
—:—
Pre-match · scheduled
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
W Away · last 5

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · ROM
27%
Best 3.70
Draw
25%
Best 4.04
Away Win · REA
49%
Best 2.04
Probability based on bookmaker odds
AI preview · 90 sec read

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
AS Roma
W/D/L 3-2-0
Goals (for / against) 11 / 4
Avg goals / match 3.0
Scored in 5/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-1-0
Away (W-D-L) 2-1-0
xG (for / against) 2.32 / 1.29
Real Madrid
W/D/L 3-0-2
Goals (for / against) 10 / 7
Avg goals / match 3.4
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 0/5
Both teams scored 4/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-0-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-0-2

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
2.80
Goals Scored
2.57
0.60
Goals Conceded
1.14
1.94
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82
7
Shots on Target
7.14
5.80
Corners
5.71
57.60
Possession (%)
52.86
106.79
Efficiency index
110.36
160.46
Adjusted index
152.36
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
—
OFF · home
50
—
DEF · home
74
26
OFF · away
—
89
DEF · away
—
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

Scenario insights

①
AS Roma wins when scoring first
88%
①
Real Madrid wins when scoring first
100%
⚽
AS Roma BTTS rate · last 10
40%
⚽
Real Madrid BTTS rate · last 10
70%
↑
AS Roma Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
↑
Real Madrid Over 2.5 · last 10
80%
↩
AS Roma comeback rate · last 10
—
↩
Real Madrid comeback rate · last 10
—

Goal timing

AS Roma · last 10 at home

0–15 12%
16–30 8%
31–45 24%
46–60 28%
61–75 8%
76–90 20%

Real Madrid · last 10 away

0–15 23%
16–30 8%
31–45 8%
46–60 8%
61–75 8%
76–90 46%
Second-half-heavy — most goals come after the break.