P
Prognosist
P
⚽ Football 57 + Value 23 📈 Forecasts
Football World UEFA Champions League Arsenal — Atletico Madrid
Arsenal
Arsenal
Home · last 5 W W D D W
Kick-off
Tue 05 May · 19:00
1:0
Full-time
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
L W L D L Away · last 5
Referee D. Siebert
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 57% · book 1.70
Miss
AH Away 0
AH Away 0
AI 32% · book 3.90
Miss
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5 Goals
AI 82% · book 1.30
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
1.58 – 0.53
Δ +1.05
Possession
54% – 46%
AI accuracy
7 / 15
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid looks like a high-level European clash, but the home side carry the clearer overall edge. Arsenal come in with stronger balance, better control at home and a far more reliable defensive platform, which should let them dictate long stretches of the match. Atletico Madrid still have enough quality to stay dangerous on transitions and can absolutely make this uncomfortable if the game gets stretched, but their current attacking rhythm looks less stable. The most likely script is Arsenal creating the better chances and holding the stronger path to victory, while the goal pattern points more toward a controlled two- or three-goal game than a wild shootout.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

ARS 10 ATM
54%
Possession (%)
46%
1.58
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.53
13
Total Shots
9
2
Shots on Target
2
8
Shots off Target
4
6
Shots Inside Box
7
5
Corner Kicks
2
1
Offsides
2
10
Fouls
13
85%
Pass Accuracy (%)
83%
1
Yellow Cards
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.70 57% Cashed +0.70 Cashed
AH Away 0 3.90 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 Goals 1.30 82% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 Goals 1.10 95% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Over 3.5 Goals 3.40 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 Goals 2.00 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.90 52% Cashed +0.90 Cashed
Under 2.5 Goals 2.00 49% Cashed +1.00 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.00 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.10 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 5.50 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.30 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.20 69% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.20 80% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Under 3.5 Goals 1.30 70% Cashed +0.30 Cashed
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each 7 W · 8 L −4.60u −31% ROI