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Home World UEFA Champions League Arsenal — Atletico Madrid

Predictions Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid May 5, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Arsenal
Arsenal
Home · last 5 W D D W D
Kick-off
Tue 05 May · 19:00
1:0
Full-time
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
L W L D L Away · last 5
Referee D. Siebert
Home Win · ARS
57%
Best 1.69
Draw
23%
Best 4.08
Away Win · ATM
20%
Best 5.54
Model pick
Home Win
@ 1.70
Fair odds
1.75
book 1.70 · no edge vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 57%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 57%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 59.2%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 23%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.5%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 20%
Odds 5.50
Show model details
Implied probability 18.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
Over 1.5 Goals
Probability 82%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality High
Over 0.5 Goals Top pick
Probability 95%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality High
Over 3.5 Goals
Probability 30%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5 Goals
Probability 51%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50.5%
Bet quality Medium
Under 2.5 Goals
Probability 49%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 51%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5 Goals
Probability 70%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality High
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Top pick
Probability 52%
Odds 1.90
Show model details
Implied probability 52.6%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes
Probability 48%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50.5%
Bet quality Medium
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Value pick
Probability 31.5%
Odds 3.90
Show model details
Implied probability 25.6%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 68.5%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 80.6%
Bet quality High
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 43%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 80%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 84.7%
Bet quality High

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.