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Prognosist
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⚽ Football 57 + Value 23 📈 Forecasts
Football World UEFA Champions League Benfica — Real Madrid

Match Benfica vs Real Madrid February 17, 2026

Benfica
Benfica
Home · last 5 W L W L L
Kick-off
Tue 17 Feb · 20:00
0:1
Full-time
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
W W W L L Away · last 5
Referee François Letexier, France
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 66% · book 1.59
Miss
Draw
Draw
AI 31% · book 4.09
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 46% · book 2.59
Total goals
1
0 · 1
xG (open play)
0.41 – 1.11
Δ −0.70
Possession
42% – 58%
AI accuracy
7 / 16
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read
Both teams arrive in strong form, but Real Madrid look slightly better equipped to control the key phases and generate the cleaner chances, even away from home. Benfica are well-organised in their own stadium and can make this a tight, tactical contest, yet Madrid’s ability to manage pressure and find solutions in big moments gives them a small edge. The most likely script is a competitive game where Benfica’s structure keeps it close, with the draw very much in play and Madrid carrying the clearer late-win threat if spaces open up.
P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

BEN 01 REA
42%
Possession (%)
58%
0.41
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.11
10
Total Shots
16
3
Shots on Target
7
4
Shots off Target
4
4
Shots Inside Box
11
3
Corner Kicks
6
1
Offsides
1
6
Fouls
9
80%
Pass Accuracy (%)
88%
2
Yellow Cards
2
6
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Bet recap · markets settled

16 · 7 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 1.59 66% Cashed +0.59 Cashed
Draw 4.09 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.59 46% Cashed +1.59 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.97 61% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.86 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.46 43% Cashed +1.46 Cashed
AH Home +1 1.55 66% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.04 94% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.65 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.20 78% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.31 70% Cashed +0.31 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.50 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.55 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 2.93 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 1.99 40% Cashed +0.99 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.45 40% Cashed +0.45 Cashed
Total · 16 markets @ 1u each 7 W · 9 L −3.57u −22% ROI