🧠 Model verdict
Model leans toward Over 2.5 goals — 77% probability.
Also rated highly: Benfica to win 75%.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
Benfica enters this clash with clear home momentum, showing stronger recent form and a notable attacking edge over Estoril’s defense. The hosts’ ability to create chances and capitalize on set-pieces could exploit Estoril’s fragile backline. Expect a lively tempo given the market’s lean towards goals, with Benfica’s pressing likely to unsettle the visitors early on.
- Home side’s superior form and attacking threat
- Estoril’s defensive vulnerabilities
- High goal expectancy suggests open play
✓ Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 75% | Benfica win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 77% | Over 2.5 |
| BTTS | 51% | Yes |
| Double Chance | 88% | 1X |
- 1X2 Benfica win 75%
- Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 77%
- BTTS Yes 51%
- Double Chance 1X 88%
📈 Odds movement · 1X2
72 hours · 4 bookmakers
⚠️ Sharp move on Draw · 9.38 ↓ 8.24 (-12%)
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
≡ Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Benfica
W/D/L
3-2-0
Goals (for / against)
19 / 5
Avg goals / match
4.8
Scored in
5/5
Clean sheets
1/5
Both teams scored
4/5
Over 2.5
4/5
Home (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Away (W-D-L)
1-1-0
xG (for / against)
3.08 / 0.65
Estoril
W/D/L
0-2-3
Goals (for / against)
3 / 9
Avg goals / match
2.4
Scored in
3/5
Clean sheets
0/5
Both teams scored
3/5
Over 2.5
1/5
Home (W-D-L)
0-1-2
Away (W-D-L)
0-1-1
xG (for / against)
1.09 / 1.94
⚔ Head-to-Head Performance
last 10 H2H · per matchEff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.
📡 Team strength
0–100 rating vs league · season-to-dateEach axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.
🎯 Scenario insights
①
Benfica wins when scoring first
40%
①
Estoril wins when scoring first
0%
⚽
Benfica BTTS rate · last 10
80%
⚽
Estoril BTTS rate · last 10
60%
↑
Benfica Over 2.5 · last 10
90%
↑
Estoril Over 2.5 · last 10
30%
↩
Benfica comeback rate · last 10
—
↩
Estoril comeback rate · last 10
0%
🔥 Goal timing
Benfica · last 10 at home
0–15
23%
16–30
12%
31–45
15%
46–60
19%
61–75
4%
76–90
27%
Estoril · last 10 away
0–15
21%
16–30
0%
31–45
21%
46–60
21%
61–75
21%
76–90
14%
Balanced — goals spread evenly across the match.
