Model verdict
Model leans toward Benfica to win — 76% probability.
Also rated highly: Over 2.5 goals 59%.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 76% | Benfica win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 59% | Over 2.5 |
| BTTS | 52% | No |
| Double Chance | 93% | 1X |
- 1X2 Benfica win 76%
- Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 59%
- BTTS No 52%
- Double Chance 1X 93%
Odds movement · 1X2
72 hours · 4 bookmakers
⚠️ Sharp move on Away Win · 12.08 ↑ 14.00 (+16%)
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Benfica
W/D/L
4-0-1
Goals (for / against)
13 / 4
Avg goals / match
3.4
Scored in
5/5
Clean sheets
3/5
Both teams scored
2/5
Over 2.5
4/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Away (W-D-L)
3-0-1
xG (for / against)
0.64 / 0.96
Guimaraes
W/D/L
1-2-2
Goals (for / against)
3 / 4
Avg goals / match
1.4
Scored in
3/5
Clean sheets
2/5
Both teams scored
2/5
Over 2.5
1/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-2-0
Away (W-D-L)
0-0-2
xG (for / against)
1.69 / 0.63
Head-to-Head Performance
last 10 H2H · per matchEff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.
Team strength
0–100 rating vs league · season-to-dateEach axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.
Scenario insights
①
Benfica wins when scoring first
100%
①
Guimaraes wins when scoring first
100%
⚽
Benfica BTTS rate · last 10
60%
⚽
Guimaraes BTTS rate · last 10
40%
↑
Benfica Over 2.5 · last 10
80%
↑
Guimaraes Over 2.5 · last 10
30%
↩
Benfica comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
Guimaraes comeback rate · last 10
0%
Goal timing
Benfica · last 10 at home
0–15
25%
16–30
17%
31–45
8%
46–60
17%
61–75
4%
76–90
29%
Guimaraes · last 10 away
0–15
0%
16–30
14%
31–45
0%
46–60
14%
61–75
57%
76–90
14%
Second-half-heavy — most goals come after the break.
