Bournemouth vs Manchester City 1:1 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 1.72 — +9.4% better than the market.

Premier League Clash at Vitality Stadium

Bournemouth hosts Manchester City in a match where quality gap heavily favors the visitors, reflecting City's superior squad strength and offensive edge. Despite Bournemouth's strong recent form and home momentum, City's pressing and tactical discipline could exploit defensive mismatches. The pace hints at a moderately open game with chances for both sides, but City's efficiency and experience likely tilt the balance.

Bournemouth's solid home form and resilience
Manchester City's attacking threat against a less robust defense
Moderate tempo suggesting balanced chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Away Win

Away Win @ 1.72 ✗ Lost

AI 64% Implied 58% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

BOU 4-2-3-1 · MCI 4-1-4-1

BOU · 4-2-3-1 4-1-4-1 · MCI

9 Evanilson

Subs used · BOU

76'

Kluivert ↑ ·

J. Kroupi ↓

84'

Brooks ↑ ·

Rayan ↓

89'

Unal ↑ ·

Evanilson ↓

90'

Cook ↑ ·

Smith ↓

Subs used · MCI

56'

Cherki ↑ ·

Silva ↓

56'

Foden ↑ ·

Kovacic ↓

56'

Savinho ↑ ·

Semenyo ↓

76'

Marmoush ↑ ·

Doku ↓

Statistics

BOU 1 – 1 MCI

45%

Possession (%)

55%

1.99

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.68

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

80%

Pass Accuracy (%)

87%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

15 · 1 – 1

T. Adams

Yellow Card

▮

37'

E. J. Kroupi

Assist · A. Truffert · 1–0

⚽

39'

Half-time · 1 – 0

56'

⇄

R. Cherki ↓ · B. Silva ↑

Substitution 1

56'

⇄

P. Foden ↓ · M. Kovacic ↑

Substitution 2

56'

⇄

Savinho ↓ · A. Semenyo ↑

Substitution 3

J. Hill

Yellow Card

▮

59'

76'

⇄

O. Marmoush ↓ · J. Doku ↑

Substitution 4

J. Kluivert ↓ · E. J. Kroupi ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

76'

D. Brooks ↓ · Rayan ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

84'

E. Unal ↓ · Evanilson ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

89'

L. Cook ↓ · A. Smith ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

90'

J. Kluivert

Yellow Card

▮

90+3'

▮

Rodri

Yellow Card

90+5'

⚽

E. Haaland

1–1

A. Truffert

Yellow Card

▮

90+6'

Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

Bournemouth and Manchester City drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 55% of the ball. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 14 shots to 10, 5 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: E. J. Kroupi (39'), E. Haaland (90+5').

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net +0.26 units (Brier 0.234).

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	1.72	1.65	64%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.83	1.73	55%	Cashed	+0.83	Cashed
BTTS No	2.75	2.55	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.14	2.15	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.80	2.75	33%	Cashed	+1.80	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	2.26	2.17	36%	Cashed	+1.26	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.23	1.19	84%	Cashed	+0.23	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.50	1.50	64%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.44	1.42	67%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.28	1.28	64%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	7.00	5.49	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.12	1.11	85%	Cashed	+0.12	Cashed
Draw	4.52	4.37	21%	Cashed	+3.52	Cashed
Home Win	4.72	4.74	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	3.55	3.55	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	7 W · 8 L	+0.26u	+2% ROI

Bournemouth vs Manchester City 1:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

Premier League Clash at Vitality Stadium

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled