Model verdict
Model leans toward both teams to score — 56% probability.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 46% | Manchester City win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 52% | Over 2.5 |
| BTTS | 56% | Yes |
| Double Chance | 71% | X2 |
- 1X2 Manchester City win 46%
- Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 52%
- BTTS Yes 56%
- Double Chance X2 71%
Odds movement · 1X2
72 hours · 4 bookmakers
⚠️ Sharp move on Home Win · 2.55 ↑ 2.91 (+14%)
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Liverpool
W/D/L
3-2-0
Goals (for / against)
7 / 3
Avg goals / match
2.0
Scored in
4/5
Clean sheets
3/5
Both teams scored
2/5
Over 2.5
2/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-2-0
Away (W-D-L)
2-0-0
xG (for / against)
1.61 / 2.30
Manchester City
W/D/L
5-0-0
Goals (for / against)
13 / 4
Avg goals / match
3.4
Scored in
5/5
Clean sheets
3/5
Both teams scored
2/5
Over 2.5
2/5
Home (W-D-L)
2-0-0
Away (W-D-L)
3-0-0
xG (for / against)
1.45 / 0.57
Head-to-Head Performance
last 10 H2H · per matchEff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.
Team strength
0–100 rating vs league · season-to-dateEach axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.
Scenario insights
①
Liverpool wins when scoring first
50%
①
Manchester City wins when scoring first
86%
⚽
Liverpool BTTS rate · last 10
70%
⚽
Manchester City BTTS rate · last 10
50%
↑
Liverpool Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
↑
Manchester City Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
↩
Liverpool comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
Manchester City comeback rate · last 10
50%
Goal timing
Liverpool · last 10 at home
0–15
11%
16–30
11%
31–45
37%
46–60
11%
61–75
16%
76–90
16%
Manchester City · last 10 away
0–15
11%
16–30
5%
31–45
21%
46–60
26%
61–75
5%
76–90
32%
Balanced — goals spread evenly across the match.
