Match Newcastle vs Brighton May 2, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Newcastle hosts Brighton at St. James' Park with contrasting form lines: Newcastle struggles with a losing streak, while Brighton shows strong recent momentum. Brighton's overall quality edge and defensive solidity could challenge Newcastle's attack, which faces a tough test against a compact away block. The home side's defensive resilience might keep the scoreline tight, but Brighton's pressing and recent form suggest they can exploit chances on the break.

Brighton's quality advantage and defensive strength
Newcastle's poor recent form and defensive focus
Potential for a tactical battle with limited goals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

NEW 4-3-3 · BRI 4-2-3-1

NEW · 4-3-3 4-2-3-1 · BRI

7 Joelinton

Subs used · NEW

68'

Hall ↑ ·

Willock ↓

68'

Barnes ↑ ·

Murphy ↓

68'

Wissa ↑ ·

Osula ↓

90+1'

Ramsey ↑ ·

Guimaraes ↓

Subs used · BRI

18'

Veltman ↑ ·

Wieffer ↓

80'

Kostoulas ↑ ·

Baleba ↓

80'

Rutter ↑ ·

Welbeck ↓

81'

De Cuyper ↑ ·

Veltman ↓

88'

Dunk ↑ ·

Hinshelwood ↓

📊 Statistics

NEW 3 – 1 BRI

33%

Possession (%)

67%

3.27

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.64

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

69%

Pass Accuracy (%)

83%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

20 · 3 – 1

W. Osula

Assist · J. Murphy · 1–0

⚽

12'

18'

⇄

J. Veltman ↓ · M. Wieffer ↑

Substitution 1

22'

▮

J. Veltman

Yellow Card

D. Burn

Assist · Bruno Guimaraes · 2–0

⚽

24'

39'

▮

K. Mitoma

Yellow Card

Half-time · 2 – 0

D. Burn

Yellow Card

▮

53'

61'

⚽

J. Hinshelwood

Assist · D. Welbeck · 2–1

L. Hall ↓ · J. Willock ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

68'

H. Barnes ↓ · J. Murphy ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

68'

Y. Wissa ↓ · W. Osula ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

68'

80'

⇄

C. Kostoulas ↓ · C. Baleba ↑

Substitution 2

80'

⇄

G. Rutter ↓ · D. Welbeck ↑

Substitution 3

81'

⇄

M. De Cuyper ↓ · J. Veltman ↑

Substitution 4

S. Tonali

Yellow Card

▮

85'

87'

▮

F. Hurzeler

Yellow Card

Y. Wissa

Yellow Card

▮

87'

88'

⇄

L. Dunk ↓ · J. Hinshelwood ↑

Substitution 5

J. Ramsey ↓ · Bruno Guimaraes ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

90+1'

90+2'

▮

J. P. van Hecke

Yellow Card

H. Barnes

3–1

⚽

90+5'

Full-time · 3 – 1

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	2.73	2.59	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.75	1.67	57%	Cashed	+0.75	Cashed
BTTS No	2.38	2.34	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.25	2.25	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.75	2.62	35%	Cashed	+1.75	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.60	1.55	59%	Cashed	+0.60	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.00	1.95	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.64	2.58	30%	Cashed	+1.64	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.94	1.94	30%	Cashed	+0.94	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.55	1.50	70%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.44	1.44	65%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.52	1.50	55%	Cashed	+0.52	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.04	1.01	94%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.22	1.18	79%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Draw	3.75	3.66	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.33	4.50	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	14.50	12.99	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.54u	−15% ROI