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Predictions by Market: Newcastle vs Brighton

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Newcastle
Newcastle
Home · last 5 L W D W L
Kick-off
Sat 02 May · 14:00
3:1
Full-time
Brighton
Brighton
W L W L L Away · last 5
St. James' Park · Newcastle Referee Chris Kavanagh, England

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · NEW
30%
Best 2.65
Draw
25%
Best 3.75
Away Win · BRI
45%
Best 2.70
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 1.55
Fair odds
1.44
book 1.55 · +7.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 70% · EV +7.8%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 44.9%
Odds 2.73
Show model details
Implied probability 36.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win
Probability 30.4%
Odds 2.64
Show model details
Implied probability 37.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 24.7%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 56.8%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 34.6%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 65.4%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 78.7%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 21.3%
Odds 4.33
Show model details
Implied probability 23.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 6%
Odds 14.50
Show model details
Implied probability 6.9%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 41.3%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 58.7%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 44.9%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 30.4%
Odds 1.94
Show model details
Implied probability 51.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 69.6%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.5%
Bet quality High
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 55.1%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 65.8%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
NEW – BRI @ 1.55
+7.8%
Edge
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