Model verdict
Model leans toward Newcastle to win — 54% probability.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 54% | Newcastle win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 51% | Under 2.5 |
| BTTS | 52% | Yes |
| Double Chance | 78% | 1X |
- 1X2 Newcastle win 54%
- Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 51%
- BTTS Yes 52%
- Double Chance 1X 78%
Odds movement · 1X2
72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Newcastle
W/D/L
2-1-2
Goals (for / against)
8 / 11
Avg goals / match
3.8
Scored in
5/5
Clean sheets
1/5
Both teams scored
4/5
Over 2.5
4/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-1-0
Away (W-D-L)
1-0-2
xG (for / against)
1.31 / 1.26
Aston Villa
W/D/L
2-2-1
Goals (for / against)
9 / 8
Avg goals / match
3.4
Scored in
4/5
Clean sheets
1/5
Both teams scored
4/5
Over 2.5
4/5
Home (W-D-L)
0-1-1
Away (W-D-L)
2-1-0
xG (for / against)
1.84 / 1.31
Head-to-Head Performance
last 10 H2H · per matchEff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.
Team strength
0–100 rating vs league · season-to-dateEach axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.
Scenario insights
①
Newcastle wins when scoring first
67%
①
Aston Villa wins when scoring first
100%
⚽
Newcastle BTTS rate · last 10
80%
⚽
Aston Villa BTTS rate · last 10
60%
↑
Newcastle Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
↑
Aston Villa Over 2.5 · last 10
80%
↩
Newcastle comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
Aston Villa comeback rate · last 10
50%
Goal timing
Newcastle · last 10 at home
0–15
29%
16–30
14%
31–45
19%
46–60
5%
61–75
10%
76–90
24%
Aston Villa · last 10 away
0–15
0%
16–30
11%
31–45
22%
46–60
22%
61–75
33%
76–90
11%
Balanced — goals spread evenly across the match.
