P
Prognosist
P
Home › England › Premier League › Newcastle — Aston Villa

Predictions by Market: Newcastle vs Aston Villa

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Newcastle
Newcastle
Home · last 5 W D L W L
Kick-off
Sat 17 Oct · 16:30
—:—
Pre-match · scheduled
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
L D L W D Away · last 5
St. James' Park · Newcastle

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · NEW
54%
Best 2.17
Draw
24%
Best 3.92
Away Win · AST
22%
Best 3.34
Value pick
Home Win
@ 2.10
Fair odds
1.86
book 2.10 · +12.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 54% · EV +12.8%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 53.7%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 24.3%
Odds 3.70
Show model details
Implied probability 27%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 22%
Odds 3.23
Show model details
Implied probability 31%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 51.3%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 48.7%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 29.4%
Odds 2.37
Show model details
Implied probability 42.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 70.6%
Odds 1.54
Show model details
Implied probability 64.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 29.6%
Odds 4.78
Show model details
Implied probability 20.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 9.7%
Odds 15.00
Show model details
Implied probability 6.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90.3%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 70.5%
Odds 1.16
Show model details
Implied probability 86.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 48.5%
Odds 2.43
Show model details
Implied probability 41.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 51.6%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 66%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 22%
Odds 2.44
Show model details
Implied probability 41.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 53.7%
Odds 1.59
Show model details
Implied probability 62.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 46.3%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 78%
Odds 1.35
Show model details
Implied probability 74.4%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Home Win
NEW – AST @ 2.10
+12.8%
Edge
Forecast →