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Prognosist
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⚽ Football 57 + Value 23 📈 Forecasts
Football England Premier League Brighton — Chelsea

Match Brighton vs Chelsea April 21, 2026

Brighton
Brighton
Home · last 5 W L W L L
Kick-off
Tue 21 Apr · 19:00
3:0
Full-time
Chelsea
Chelsea
L L D W L Away · last 5
Amex Stadium · Brighton Referee Craig Pawson, England
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 69% · book 1.60
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 45% · book 2.74
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 59% · book 1.72
Total goals
3
3 · 0
xG (open play)
2.17 – 0.38
Δ +1.79
Possession
54% – 46%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Brighton hosts Chelsea at the Amex Stadium with a slight home momentum edge, reflected in their recent strong form contrasting Chelsea's struggles. Brighton's compact defensive block may challenge Chelsea's potent attack, though Chelsea's overall quality and offensive threat remain significant. The match hints at a balanced pace with moderate goal expectations, where Chelsea's pressing edge could unlock tight spaces.

  • Brighton's recent home resilience vs Chelsea's away offensive power
  • Form advantage favors Brighton, but Chelsea's quality gap is notable
  • Moderate tempo suggests tactical discipline and set-piece importance

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

BRI 4-2-3-1 · CHE 4-4-1-1
Subs used · BRI
46' Veltman ↑ · Wieffer
77' De Cuyper ↑ · Minteh
82' Ayari ↑ · Mitoma
83' Welbeck ↑ · Rutter
90+2' O'Riley ↑ · Hinshelwood
Subs used · CHE
46' Garnacho ↑ · Fofana
72' Guiu ↑ · Delap
73' Essugo ↑ · Lavia
90+2' Acheampong ↑ · Gusto

📊 Statistics

BRI 30 CHE
54%
Possession (%)
46%
2.17
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.38
15
Total Shots
6
9
Shots on Target
0
4
Shots off Target
2
13
Shots Inside Box
3
6
Corner Kicks
5
0
Offsides
4
15
Fouls
5
86%
Pass Accuracy (%)
84%
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

14 · 3 – 0
F. Kadioglu
1–0
3'
45+1'
Wesley Fofana
Yellow Card
Half-time · 1 – 0
J. Veltman ↓ · M. Wieffer ↑
Substitution 1
46'
46'
A. Garnacho ↓ · W. Fofana ↑
Substitution 1
J. Hinshelwood
Assist · G. Rutter · 2–0
56'
Yankuba Minteh
Yellow Card
58'
72'
M. Guiu ↓ · L. Delap ↑
Substitution 2
73'
D. Essugo ↓ · R. Lavia ↑
Substitution 3
M. De Cuyper ↓ · Y. Minteh ↑
Substitution 2
77'
Y. Ayari ↓ · K. Mitoma ↑
Substitution 3
82'
D. Welbeck ↓ · G. Rutter ↑
Substitution 4
83'
D. Welbeck
Assist · M. De Cuyper · 3–0
90'
M. O'Riley ↓ · J. Hinshelwood ↑
Substitution 5
90+2'
90+2'
J. Acheampong ↓ · M. Gusto ↑
Substitution 4
Full-time · 3 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 1.60 69% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.74 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.72 59% Cashed +0.72 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.67 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.45 39% Cashed +1.45 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.30 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.04 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.56 31% Cashed +1.56 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.90 31% Cashed +0.90 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.57 61% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.50 63% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.51 55% Cashed +0.51 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.04 95% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.22 81% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
Draw 3.84 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.60 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 15.50 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −3.10u −18% ROI