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Home England Premier League Brighton — Chelsea

Predictions Brighton vs Chelsea April 21, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Brighton
Brighton
Home · last 5 W L W L L
Kick-off
Tue 21 Apr · 19:00
3:0
Full-time
Chelsea
Chelsea
L L D W L Away · last 5
Amex Stadium · Brighton Referee Craig Pawson, England
Home Win · BRI
31%
Best 2.38
Draw
24%
Best 3.55
Away Win · CHE
45%
Best 2.89
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 1.60
Fair odds
1.45
book 1.60 · +10.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 69% · EV +10.5%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Best in group
Probability 44.7%
Odds 2.74
Show model details
Implied probability 36.5%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win
Probability 31%
Odds 2.56
Show model details
Implied probability 39.1%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 24.4%
Odds 3.84
Show model details
Implied probability 26%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 59.2%
Odds 1.72
Show model details
Implied probability 58.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 37.4%
Odds 2.67
Show model details
Implied probability 37.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 40.8%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 62.6%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.6%
Odds 1.04
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Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 80.6%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 19.4%
Odds 4.60
Show model details
Implied probability 21.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 5.4%
Odds 15.50
Show model details
Implied probability 6.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 39.1%
Odds 2.45
Show model details
Implied probability 40.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 60.9%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 44.7%
Odds 2.04
Show model details
Implied probability 49%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 31%
Odds 1.90
Show model details
Implied probability 52.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 69.1%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality High
Double Chance 1X
Probability 55.4%
Odds 1.51
Show model details
Implied probability 66.2%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.