Arsenal won 3–0 away at Slavia Praha. At half-time it was 0–1.
In possession, the visitors ran the game with 57% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 80% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.78 to 0.46. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 14 shots to 9, 8 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 7 to 4. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 19 graded markets, 9 landed and 10 missed, for a net -7.02 units (Brier 0.108).
| Market | Odds | Closed | AI | Result | P/L · 1u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AH Away +1 | 1.41 | — | 84% | Cashed | +0.41 | Cashed |
| Home Win | 11.40 | — | 14% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Double Chance 1X | 4.00 | — | 34% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Draw | 6.00 | — | 20% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 2.5 | 2.31 | — | 50% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Home +1 | 3.10 | — | 38% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 3.5 | 1.47 | — | 72% | Cashed | +0.47 | Cashed |
| BTTS No | 1.68 | — | 58% | Cashed | +0.68 | Cashed |
| BTTS Yes | 2.26 | — | 42% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 2.5 | 1.72 | — | 50% | Cashed | +0.72 | Cashed |
| Over 1.5 | 1.22 | — | 78% | Cashed | +0.22 | Cashed |
| Under 1.5 | 4.33 | — | 22% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 0.5 | 1.03 | — | 92% | Cashed | +0.03 | Cashed |
| Under 0.5 | 15.50 | — | 6% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Away Win | 1.32 | — | 66% | Cashed | +0.32 | Cashed |
| Double Chance X2 | 1.07 | — | 86% | Cashed | +0.07 | Cashed |
| AH Home +2 | 1.57 | — | 63% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Away 0 | 1.06 | — | 66% | Cashed | +0.06 | Cashed |
| AH Home 0 | 6.35 | — | 14% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Total · 19 markets @ 1u each | — | — | — | 9 W · 10 L | −7.02u | −37% ROI |
