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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › France › Ligue 1 › Toulouse — Strasbourg

Match Toulouse vs Strasbourg December 6, 2025

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Toulouse
Toulouse
Home · last 5 L L D W W
Kick-off
Sat 06 Dec · 18:00
1:0
Full-time
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
W L D W W Away · last 5
Stadium de Toulouse · Toulouse Referee Stephanie Frappart, France
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 56% · book 1.96 ✗
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 58% · book 1.73 ✗
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 42% · book 2.17 ✓
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
0.45 – 0.07
Δ +0.38
Possession
28% – 72%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 1.96 — +9.2% better than the market.

Strasbourg arrives with a clear quality edge and a stronger attack, while Toulouse shows signs of home resilience despite recent struggles. The home side's defensive solidity faces a potent Strasbourg offense, suggesting tactical battles around midfield control and pressing intensity. Expect a moderately open game with chances on both ends, supported by balanced over/under odds hinting at a lively tempo.

  • Strasbourg's offensive edge against Toulouse's defense
  • Toulouse's home momentum despite patchy form
  • Potential for goals given attacking matchups and pace

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5
Over 2.5 @ 1.96 ✗ Lost
AI 56% Implied 51% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

TOU 3-4-2-1 · STR 3-4-2-1
TOU · 3-4-2-1 3-4-2-1 · STR 1 Restes 3 McKenzie 4 Cresswell 2 Nicolaisen 19 Sidibé 45 Vossah 23 Cásseres 24 Methalie 10 Gboho 9 Magri 20 Emersonn ⚽ 39 Penders 22 Doué 2 Omobamidele 23 Sarr 7 Moreira 29 Mourabet 6 Doukouré 3 Chilwell 11 Nanasi 19 Enciso 9 Panichelli
Subs used · TOU
46' Messali ↑ · Magri ↓
79' Hidalgo ↑ · Emersonn ↓
Subs used · STR
62' Amougou ↑ · Nanasi ↓
62' Paez ↑ · Omobamidele ↓
75' Amo-Ameyaw ↑ · Doue ↓
87' Godo ↑ · Moreira ↓

📊 Statistics

TOU 1 – 0 STR
28%
Possession (%)
72%
0.45
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.07
6
Total Shots
3
3
Shots on Target
0
2
Shots off Target
1
3
Shots Inside Box
2
1
Corner Kicks
2
1
Offsides
3
21
Fouls
13
80%
Pass Accuracy (%)
93%
3
Yellow Cards
3
0
Goalkeeper Saves
2

⏱ Match events

13 · 1 – 0
Emersonn
1–0
⚽
18'
Cristian Cásseres Jr.
Yellow Card
▮
28'
Frank Magri
Yellow Card
▮
44'
Half-time · 1 – 0
R. Messali ↓ · F. Magri ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
46'
62'
⇄
M. Amougou ↓ · S. Nanasi ↑
Substitution 1
62'
⇄
K. Paez ↓ · A. Omobamidele ↑
Substitution 2
75'
⇄
S. Amo-Ameyaw ↓ · G. Doue ↑
Substitution 3
S. Hidalgo ↓ · Emersonn ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
79'
82'
▮
Diego Moreira
Yellow Card
85'
▮
Samir El Mourabet
Yellow Card
87'
⇄
M. Godo ↓ · D. Moreira ↑
Substitution 4
89'
▮
Ben Chilwell
Yellow Card
Rafik Messali
Yellow Card
▮
90+4'
Full-time · 1 – 0

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 2.5 1.96 — 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.73 — 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.17 — 42% Cashed +1.17 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.06 — 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.98 — 44% Cashed +0.98 Cashed
Home Win 2.63 — 30% Cashed +1.63 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.89 — 30% Cashed +0.89 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.55 — 70% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.88 — 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.30 — 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.48 — 57% Cashed +0.48 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.31 — 78% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.07 — 93% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Draw 3.50 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.36 — 66% Cashed +0.36 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.90 — 22% Cashed +2.90 Cashed
Under 0.5 11.50 — 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −0.52u −3% ROI
Best bet of the night · Over 2.5
TOU – STR @ 1.96
+9.2%
Edge
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