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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Toulouse — Strasbourg

Predictions by Market: Toulouse vs Strasbourg

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Toulouse
Toulouse
Home · last 5 L L D W W
Kick-off
Sat 06 Dec · 18:00
1:0
Full-time
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
W L D W W Away · last 5
Stadium Municipal · Toulouse Referee Stephanie Frappart, France

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · TOU
30%
Best 2.56
Draw
27%
Best 3.30
Away Win · STR
43%
Best 2.75
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 3.30
Fair odds
2.94
book 3.30 · +12.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 34% · EV +12.2%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (66%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win
Probability 30.2%
Odds 2.63
Show model details
Implied probability 38%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 43.3%
Odds 2.88
Show model details
Implied probability 34.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 26.5%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 55.7%
Odds 1.96
Show model details
Implied probability 51%
Bet quality High
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 44.3%
Odds 1.98
Show model details
Implied probability 50.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 34%
Odds 3.30
Show model details
Implied probability 30.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 78.5%
Odds 1.31
Show model details
Implied probability 76.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.4%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 66%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 21.6%
Odds 3.90
Show model details
Implied probability 25.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 6.6%
Odds 11.50
Show model details
Implied probability 8.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 57.8%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 42.2%
Odds 2.17
Show model details
Implied probability 46.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 43.3%
Odds 2.06
Show model details
Implied probability 48.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 30.2%
Odds 1.89
Show model details
Implied probability 52.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 69.8%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.5%
Bet quality High
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 56.7%
Odds 1.48
Show model details
Implied probability 67.6%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
TOU – STR @ 3.30
+12.2%
Edge
Forecast →