Match Strasbourg vs Lille November 9, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS Yes at 1.65 — +12.8% better than the market.

Strasbourg hosts Lille in a Ligue 1 clash where Lille holds a slight quality edge, but Strasbourg’s home momentum and compact defensive setup could keep things tight. Strasbourg’s recent form shows resilience, while Lille’s attack faces a disciplined backline, suggesting a tactical battle. The match hints at a lively pace with both sides capable of goals, supported by strong offensive indexes and recent scoring trends.

Home side’s defensive solidity vs Lille’s attacking pressure
Strasbourg’s better recent form and home comfort
Potential for multiple goals given offensive strengths

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS Yes

BTTS Yes @ 1.65 ✗ Lost

AI 68% Implied 61% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

STR 3-4-1-2 · LIL 4-2-3-1

STR · 3-4-1-2 4-2-3-1 · LIL

9 Panichelli

Subs used · STR

76'

Nzingoula ↑ ·

Emegha ↓

76'

El Mourabet ↑ ·

Enciso ↓

89'

Omobamidele ↑ ·

Moreira ↓

89'

Godo ↑ ·

Ouattara ↓

90+8'

Amougou ↑ ·

Panichelli ↓

Subs used · LIL

64'

Igamane ↑ ·

Fernandez-Pardo ↓

76'

Broholm ↑ ·

Giroud ↓

76'

Sahraoui ↑ ·

Correia ↓

84'

Verdonk ↑ ·

Perraud ↓

84'

Mukau ↑ ·

Bouaddi ↓

📊 Statistics

STR 2 – 0 LIL

42%

Possession (%)

58%

0.86

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.26

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

81%

Pass Accuracy (%)

86%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

20 · 2 – 0

E. Emegha

Assist · D. Moreira · 1–0

⚽

33'

Joaquin Panichelli

Yellow Card

▮

35'

Julio Enciso

Yellow Card

▮

37'

▮

Romain Perraud

Yellow Card

Half-time · 1 – 0

E. Emegha

2–0

⚽

62'

64'

⇄

H. Igamane ↓ · M. Fernandez-Pardo ↑

Substitution 1

Ben Chilwell

Yellow Card

▮

65'

R. Nzingoula ↓ · E. Emegha ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

76'

S. El Mourabet ↓ · J. Enciso ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

76'

⇄

M. Broholm ↓ · O. Giroud ↑

Substitution 2

76'

⇄

O. Sahraoui ↓ · F. Correia ↑

Substitution 3

Mike Penders

Yellow Card

▮

80'

84'

⇄

C. Verdonk ↓ · R. Perraud ↑

Substitution 4

84'

⇄

N. Mukau ↓ · A. Bouaddi ↑

Substitution 5

A. Omobamidele ↓ · D. Moreira ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

89'

M. Godo ↓ · A. Ouattara ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

89'

90+3'

▮

Benjamin André

Yellow Card

90+3'

▮

Calvin Verdonk

Red Card

90+5'

▮

Ngal'ayel Mukau

Yellow Card

M. Amougou ↓ · J. Panichelli ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

90+8'

Full-time · 2 – 0

Match recap

Strasbourg beat Lille 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 58% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 0.86 to 0.26. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 4 to 1. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: E. Emegha (33'), E. Emegha (62'). Calvin Verdonk was sent off in the 90+3' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.17 units (Brier 0.269).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	1.83	—	65%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.65	—	68%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.56	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.88	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.38	—	32%	Cashed	+1.38	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.15	—	35%	Cashed	+1.15	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.09	—	27%	Cashed	+1.09	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.50	—	73%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.10	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.25	—	86%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.58	—	53%	Cashed	+0.58	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.45	—	55%	Cashed	+0.45	Cashed
Home Win	2.88	—	27%	Cashed	+1.88	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.05	—	96%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Draw	3.69	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.33	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	14.20	—	4%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.17u	−13% ROI