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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Strasbourg — Lille

Strasbourg vs Lille 2:0: Match Review & Stats

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
Home · last 5 W L D W W
Kick-off
Sun 09 Nov · 16:15
2:0
Full-time
Lille
Lille
D W D W L Away · last 5
Stade de la Meinau · Strasbourg Referee François Letexier, France
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 65% · book 1.83 ✗
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 68% · book 1.65 ✗
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 47% · book 2.56 ✗
Total goals
2
2 · 0
xG (open play)
0.86 – 0.26
Δ +0.60
Possession
42% – 58%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS Yes at 1.65 — +12.8% better than the market.

Strasbourg hosts Lille in a Ligue 1 clash where Lille holds a slight quality edge, but Strasbourg’s home momentum and compact defensive setup could keep things tight. Strasbourg’s recent form shows resilience, while Lille’s attack faces a disciplined backline, suggesting a tactical battle. The match hints at a lively pace with both sides capable of goals, supported by strong offensive indexes and recent scoring trends.

  • Home side’s defensive solidity vs Lille’s attacking pressure
  • Strasbourg’s better recent form and home comfort
  • Potential for multiple goals given offensive strengths

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes @ 1.65 ✗ Lost
AI 68% Implied 61% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

STR 3-4-1-2 · LIL 4-2-3-1
STR · 3-4-1-2 4-2-3-1 · LIL 39 Penders 24 Høgsberg 23 Sarr 3 Chilwell 22 Doué 32 Barco 42 Ouattara 7 Moreira 19 Enciso 10 Emegha ⚽ 9 Panichelli 1 Özer 12 Meunier 3 Ngoy 23 Mandi 15 Perraud 32 Bouaddi 21 André 27 Correia 10 Haraldsson 7 Fernández 9 Giroud
Subs used · STR
76' Nzingoula ↑ · Emegha ↓
76' El Mourabet ↑ · Enciso ↓
89' Omobamidele ↑ · Moreira ↓
89' Godo ↑ · Ouattara ↓
90+8' Amougou ↑ · Panichelli ↓
Subs used · LIL
64' Igamane ↑ · Fernandez-Pardo ↓
76' Broholm ↑ · Giroud ↓
76' Sahraoui ↑ · Correia ↓
84' Verdonk ↑ · Perraud ↓
84' Mukau ↑ · Bouaddi ↓

Statistics

STR 2 – 0 LIL
42%
Possession (%)
58%
0.86
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.26
5
Total Shots
6
2
Shots on Target
4
2
Shots off Target
2
3
Shots Inside Box
2
1
Corner Kicks
4
1
Offsides
1
9
Fouls
20
81%
Pass Accuracy (%)
86%
4
Yellow Cards
3
4
Goalkeeper Saves
0

Match events

20 · 2 – 0
E. Emegha
Assist · D. Moreira · 1–0
⚽
33'
Joaquin Panichelli
Yellow Card
▮
35'
Julio Enciso
Yellow Card
▮
37'
37'
▮
Romain Perraud
Yellow Card
Half-time · 1 – 0
E. Emegha
2–0
⚽
62'
64'
⇄
H. Igamane ↓ · M. Fernandez-Pardo ↑
Substitution 1
Ben Chilwell
Yellow Card
▮
65'
R. Nzingoula ↓ · E. Emegha ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
76'
S. El Mourabet ↓ · J. Enciso ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
76'
76'
⇄
M. Broholm ↓ · O. Giroud ↑
Substitution 2
76'
⇄
O. Sahraoui ↓ · F. Correia ↑
Substitution 3
Mike Penders
Yellow Card
▮
80'
84'
⇄
C. Verdonk ↓ · R. Perraud ↑
Substitution 4
84'
⇄
N. Mukau ↓ · A. Bouaddi ↑
Substitution 5
A. Omobamidele ↓ · D. Moreira ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
89'
M. Godo ↓ · A. Ouattara ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
89'
90+3'
▮
Benjamin André
Yellow Card
90+3'
▮
Calvin Verdonk
Red Card
90+5'
▮
Ngal'ayel Mukau
Yellow Card
M. Amougou ↓ · J. Panichelli ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
90+8'
Full-time · 2 – 0

Match recap

Strasbourg beat Lille 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 58% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 0.86 to 0.26. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 4 to 1. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: E. Emegha (33'), E. Emegha (62'). Calvin Verdonk was sent off in the 90+3' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.17 units (Brier 0.269).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 2.5 1.83 — 65% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.65 — 68% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.56 — 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.88 — 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.38 — 32% Cashed +1.38 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.15 — 35% Cashed +1.15 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.09 — 27% Cashed +1.09 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.50 — 73% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.10 — 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.25 — 86% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.58 — 53% Cashed +0.58 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.45 — 55% Cashed +0.45 Cashed
Home Win 2.88 — 27% Cashed +1.88 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.05 — 96% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Draw 3.69 — 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.33 — 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 14.20 — 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −2.17u −13% ROI
Value pick of the night · BTTS Yes
STR – LIL @ 1.65
+12.8%
Edge
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