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Home World UEFA Champions League NEC Nijmegen — Bodo/Glimt

Preview NEC Nijmegen vs Bodo/Glimt August 19, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

Europe   /   UEFA Champions League Value pick inside
NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen
Home · last 5 D W
Kick-off
Wed 19 Aug · 19:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Bodo/Glimt
Bodo/Glimt
D W Away · last 5
Referee F. Letexier
Home Win · NIJ
38%
Best 2.62
Draw
25%
Best 3.93
Away Win · BOD
38%
Best 2.56

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward both teams to score — 67% probability.

Also rated highly: Over 2.5 goals 66%.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

NEC Nijmegen and Bodo/Glimt enter this Champions League clash with similar recent form, both showing signs of resilience. The home side may enjoy a mild advantage from familiar surroundings, while the away team’s balanced approach suggests a tactical battle. Expect a moderately paced game with chances at both ends, as indicated by the market leaning towards over 2.5 goals and both teams to score.

  • Home momentum could spark early pressure.
  • Away side’s compact defense may limit clear-cut chances.
  • Shared recent form hints at an open contest with goal opportunities.

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 38% NEC Nijmegen win
Over/Under 2.5 66% Over 2.5
BTTS 67% Yes
Double Chance 62% 1X
  • 1X2 NEC Nijmegen win 38%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 66%
  • BTTS Yes 67%
  • Double Chance 1X 62%
Open betting analysis

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
NEC Nijmegen
W/D/L 3-1-1
Goals (for / against) 9 / 5
Avg goals / match 2.8
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 4/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-0-1
Away (W-D-L) 1-1-0
xG (for / against) 3.13 / 1.07
Bodo/Glimt
W/D/L 3-1-1
Goals (for / against) 11 / 11
Avg goals / match 4.4
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 5/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-0-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-1-1
xG (for / against) 1.58 / 2.00

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
2.50
Goals Scored
3
1.50
Goals Conceded
2.50
2.44
Expected Goals (xG)
0.60
7
Shots on Target
4.50
7.50
Corners
5
69.50
Possession (%)
35
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
63
OFF · home
85
67
DEF · home
37
0
OFF · away
94
100
DEF · away
18
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

NEC Nijmegen wins when scoring first
Bodo/Glimt wins when scoring first
NEC Nijmegen BTTS rate · last 10
80%
Bodo/Glimt BTTS rate · last 10
80%
NEC Nijmegen Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
Bodo/Glimt Over 2.5 · last 10
100%
NEC Nijmegen comeback rate · last 10
0%
Bodo/Glimt comeback rate · last 10
0%

🔥 Goal timing

NEC Nijmegen · last 4 at home

0–15 15%
16–30 8%
31–45 8%
46–60 31%
61–75 15%
76–90 23%

Bodo/Glimt · last 2 away

0–15 33%
16–30 0%
31–45 0%
46–60 0%
61–75 0%
76–90 67%
Late-game scoring — most goals come after the 60th.

Top scorers

A. Helmersen
BOD · Attacker
1 G
J. Hauge
BOD · Midfielder
1 G · 0.76 g/90