NEC Nijmegen vs Bodo/Glimt 1:3 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 2.66 — +0.4% better than the market.

NEC Nijmegen and Bodo/Glimt enter this Champions League clash with similar recent form, both showing signs of resilience. The home side may enjoy a mild advantage from familiar surroundings, while the away team’s balanced approach suggests a tactical battle. Expect a moderately paced game with chances at both ends, as indicated by the market leaning towards over 2.5 goals and both teams to score.

Home momentum could spark early pressure.
Away side’s compact defense may limit clear-cut chances.
Shared recent form hints at an open contest with goal opportunities.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 2.66 ✗ Lost

AI 38% Implied 38% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

NIJ 3-4-2-1 · BOD 4-3-3

NIJ · 3-4-2-1 4-3-3 · BOD

30 Linssen

Statistics

NIJ 1 – 3 BOD

69%

Possession (%)

31%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

85%

Pass Accuracy (%)

71%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Bodo/Glimt won 3–1 away at NEC Nijmegen. At half-time it was 0–2.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 69% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 85% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 22 shots to 8, 6 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 2. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.88 units (Brier 0.162).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.66	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.80	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.12	—	46%	Cashed	+1.12	Cashed
Away Win	2.55	—	38%	Cashed	+1.55	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.75	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	2.00	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.90	—	38%	Cashed	+0.90	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.56	—	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.53	—	62%	Cashed	+0.53	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.44	—	67%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
BTTS No	2.90	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.44	—	66%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.02	—	96%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Under 0.5	23.00	—	4%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.88	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.12	—	83%	Cashed	+0.12	Cashed
Under 1.5	5.55	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.88u	−23% ROI

NEC Nijmegen vs Bodo/Glimt 1:3: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled