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Home › World › UEFA Champions League › NEC Nijmegen — Bodo/Glimt

Predictions by Market: NEC Nijmegen vs Bodo/Glimt

Europe   /   UEFA Champions League Value pick inside
NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen
Home · last 5 D W L L
Kick-off
Wed 19 Aug · 19:00
1:3
Full-time
Bodo/Glimt
Bodo/Glimt
D W W W L Away · last 5
Referee F. Letexier

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · NIJ
38%
Best 2.81
Draw
25%
Best 3.84
Away Win · BOD
38%
Best 2.44
Value pick
Home Win
@ 2.66
Fair odds
2.65
book 2.66 · +0.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
—
Pick confidence
Low
p 38% · EV +0.4%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Away Win is more likely (38%), but Home Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 37.8%
Odds 2.66
Show model details
Implied probability 37.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 37.7%
Odds 2.55
Show model details
Implied probability 39.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 24.6%
Odds 3.88
Show model details
Implied probability 25.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 54.1%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 45.9%
Odds 2.12
Show model details
Implied probability 47.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 34.4%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 65.6%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95.8%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 4.3%
Odds 23.00
Show model details
Implied probability 4.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 83.2%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 16.8%
Odds 5.55
Show model details
Implied probability 18%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 66.8%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 33.2%
Odds 2.90
Show model details
Implied probability 34.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 37.8%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 37.7%
Odds 1.90
Show model details
Implied probability 52.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 62.3%
Odds 1.56
Show model details
Implied probability 64.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 62.3%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Home Win
NIJ – BOD @ 2.66
+0.4%
Edge
Forecast →