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Prognosist
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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football England Premier League Arsenal — Brighton

Match Arsenal vs Brighton December 27, 2025

Arsenal
Arsenal
Home · last 5 W W W W W
Kick-off
Sat 27 Dec · 15:00
2:1
Full-time
Brighton
Brighton
W L W L L Away · last 5
Emirates Stadium · London Referee John Brooks, England
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 55% · book 1.95
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 59% · book 1.71
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 38% · book 2.66
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
3.08 – 0.85
Δ +2.23
Possession
53% – 47%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Arsenal carry clear momentum into this clash at Emirates Stadium, boasting a strong home edge and superior overall quality. Their robust defense is likely to stifle Brighton's attack, which has struggled to convert chances consistently. Brighton's recent form shows resilience, but Arsenal's sharper offensive edge and home comfort suggest they will control the tempo and press for goals.

  • Arsenal's compact defensive block limits Brighton's chances
  • Home crowd support fuels Arsenal's attacking intent
  • Brighton's moderate form and defensive vulnerabilities pose risks

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

ARS 4-3-3 · BRI 3-4-2-1
Subs used · ARS
71' Jesus ↑ · Gyökeres
71' Gabriel ↑ · Lewis-Skelly
82' Martinelli ↑ · Trossard
Subs used · BRI
46' Minteh ↑ · Gruda
46' Wieffer ↑ · De Cuyper
75' Welbeck ↑ · Hinshelwood
87' Watson ↑ · Coppola
87' Kostoulas ↑ · Gomez

📊 Statistics

ARS 21 BRI
53%
Possession (%)
47%
3.08
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.85
24
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Target
3
8
Shots off Target
3
21
Shots Inside Box
7
7
Corner Kicks
2
1
Offsides
1
7
Fouls
13
84%
Pass Accuracy (%)
83%
2
Yellow Cards
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match events

16 · 2 – 1
M. Odegaard
Assist · B. Saka · 1–0
14'
45+1'
Bart Verbruggen
Yellow Card
Half-time · 1 – 0
46'
Y. Minteh ↓ · B. Gruda ↑
Substitution 1
46'
M. Wieffer ↓ · M. De Cuyper ↑
Substitution 2
50'
Lewis Dunk
Yellow Card
G. Rutter
Own goal · 2–0
52'
56'
Diego Coppola
Yellow Card
64'
D. Gomez
2–1
Myles Lewis-Skelly
Yellow Card
69'
Gabriel Jesus ↓ · V. Gyökeres ↑
Substitution 1
71'
Gabriel ↓ · M. Lewis-Skelly ↑
Substitution 2
71'
75'
D. Welbeck ↓ · J. Hinshelwood ↑
Substitution 3
G. Martinelli ↓ · L. Trossard ↑
Substitution 3
82'
87'
T. Watson ↓ · D. Coppola ↑
Substitution 4
87'
C. Kostoulas ↓ · D. Gomez ↑
Substitution 5
Piero Hincapié
Yellow Card
90'
Full-time · 2 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes 1.95 55% Cashed +0.95 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.71 59% Cashed +0.71 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.66 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.32 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.95 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.44 72% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.11 91% Cashed +0.11 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.52 62% Cashed +0.52 Cashed
Double Chance X2 3.17 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.13 72% Cashed +0.13 Cashed
Draw 5.06 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.04 95% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.21 81% Cashed +0.21 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.90 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 16.00 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 8.50 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 5.90 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −5.89u −35% ROI